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(1) I have read that "ERA5 includes an uncertainty estimate that provides guidance on where products are more/less accurate."[1] What does this mean? What exactly are uncertainties when using ERA5?
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Yes. Uncertainty indicators are available on the same model levels (137 model levels, as in the high resolution operational IFS model), pressure, potential temperature and potential vorticity levels as the ensemble members. The raw ensemble data (all members) are available for the users to compute any processed information.
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This document has been produced in the context of the Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S).The activities leading to these results have been contracted by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, operator of C3S on behalf of the European Union (Delegation agreement signed on 11/11/2014). All information in this document is provided "as is" and no guarantee or warranty is given that the information is fit for any particular purpose.The user thereof uses the information at its sole risk and liability. For the avoidance of all doubts, the European Commission and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts has no liability in respect of this document, which is merely representing the authors view. |
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