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The plot below shows the forecast evolution plot for 24-hour precipitation valid 14 October over Curfu (0.5x0.5 degree box). HRES –red, ENS CF – purple, ENS blue box-and-whisker, Model climate – red box-and-whisker. Triangle marks the maximum in the model climate based on 1200 forecasts, and the green hourglass the mean of the observations..
The plot below shows the same as above but for Athens.
The plots below show EFI for 3-day precipitation 13-15 October, from different initial times. Also allowing for a longer time window, Corfu was still on the edge of the region with an early signal.
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