On Sunday 30th September I was in Addis Ababa and noticed that the EPSgram for the town had been showing noticeable rain. It rained indeed! The EPSgram for the forecast of the 28th was a little too pessimistic indicating rain for four days in a row. The forecast of the 29th was more specific, with little rain on the 29th and significant rain on the 30th.
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The rain only happened on the Sunday and Monday in the early morning. Interestingly, the EFI had a small signal for an area around Addis Ababa (d+1 for the Sunday), even though the rain was not really extreme. I believe the signal is linked to the timing of the dry season which starts usually end of September/beginning of October and the model climate may not capture it correctly. A small phase shift could be the cause of the EFI signal.