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table14
table14
Table 14: Climatological analysis error standard deviation for u-component of wind for the CARRA-West domain. 

Name

Short name

Unit

Level

Upper Bound STDV

Refined STDV

u-component of wind

u

m/s

50hPa

0.540

0.146

u-component of wind

u

m/s

100hPa

0.370

0.100

u-component of wind

u

m/s

150hPa

0.447

0.121

u-component of wind

u

m/s

200hPa

0.611

0.165

u-component of wind

u

m/s

250hPa

0.732

0.198

u-component of wind

u

m/s

300hPa

0.871

0.235

u-component of wind

u

m/s

400hPa

0.869

0.235

u-component of wind

u

m/s

500hPa

0.862

0.233

u-component of wind

u

m/s

600hPa

0.887

0.240

u-component of wind

u

m/s

700hPa

0.893

0.241

u-component of wind

u

m/s

800hPa

0.856

0.231

u-component of wind

u

m/s

850hPa

0.831

0.224

u-component of wind

u

m/s

900hPa

0.810

0.219

u-component of wind

u

m/s

925hPa

0.803

0.217

u-component of wind

u

m/s

950hPa

0.799

0.216

u-component of wind

u

m/s

1000hPa

0.773

0.209

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table15
table15
Table 15: Climatological analysis error standard deviation for v-component of wind for the CARRA-West domain. 

Name

Short name

Unit

Level

Upper Bound STDV

Refined STDV

v-component of wind

v

m/s

50hPa

0.535

0.144

v-component of wind

v

m/s

100hPa

0.360

0.097

v-component of wind

v

m/s

150hPa

0.449

0.135

v-component of wind

v

m/s

200hPa

0.603

0.162

v-component of wind

v

m/s

250hPa

0.714

0.193

v-component of wind

v

m/s

300hPa

0.851

0.230

v-component of wind

v

m/s

400hPa

0.853

0.230

v-component of wind

v

m/s

500hPa

0.852

0.230

v-component of wind

v

m/s

600hPa

0.877

0.237

v-component of wind

v

m/s

700hPa

0.884

0.239

v-component of wind

v

m/s

800hPa

0.852

0.230

v-component of wind

v

m/s

850hPa

0.826

0.223

v-component of wind

v

m/s

900hPa

0.801

0.216

v-component of wind

v

m/s

925hPa

0.794

0.214

v-component of wind

v

m/s

950hPa

0.792

0.214

v-component of wind

v

m/s

1000hPa

0.763

0.206

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figure8
figure8

Figure 8: Climatological analysis error standard deviation for temperature (left plot) and specific humidity (right plot) as a function of standard pressure levels for the CARRA-West domain.

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table16
table16
Table 16: Climatological analysis error standard deviation for temperature for the CARRA-West domain.

Name

Short name

Unit

Level

Upper Bound STDV

Refined STDV

temperature

t

K

50hPa

0.130

0.035

temperature

t

K

100hPa

0.112

0.030

temperature

t

K

150hPa

0.169

0.045

temperature

t

K

200hPa

0.276

0.075

temperature

t

K

250hPa

0.285

0.077

temperature

t

K

300hPa

0.263

0.071

temperature

t

K

400hPa

0.227

0.061

temperature

t

K

500hPa

0.235

0.063

temperature

t

K

600hPa

0.259

0.070

temperature

t

K

700hPa

0.350

0.095

temperature

t

K

800hPa

0.473

0.128

temperature

t

K

850hPa

0.500

0.135

temperature

t

K

900hPa

0.508

0.137

temperature

t

K

925hPa

0.509

0.137

temperature

t

K

950hPa

0.520

0.140

temperature

t

K

1000hPa

0.542

0.146

Anchor
table17
table17
Table 17: Climatological analysis error standard deviation for specific humidity for the CARRA-West domain.

Name

Short name

Unit

Level

Upper Bound STDV

Refined STDV

specific humidity

r

g/kg

50hPa

0.

0.

specific humidity

r

g/kg

100hPa

0.

0.

specific humidity

r

g/kg

150hPa

0.

0.

specific humidity

r

g/kg

200hPa

0.001

0.0002

specific humidity

r

g/kg

250hPa

0.002

0.0004

specific humidity

r

g/kg

300hPa

0.006

0.001

specific humidity

r

g/kg

400hPa

0.020

0.005

specific humidity

r

g/kg

500hPa

0.048

0.013

specific humidity

r

g/kg

600hPa

0.082

0.022

specific humidity

r

g/kg

700hPa

0.113

0.031

specific humidity

r

g/kg

800hPa

0.127

0.034

specific humidity

r

g/kg

850hPa

0.126

0.034

specific humidity

r

g/kg

900hPa

0.119

0.032

specific humidity

r

g/kg

925hPa

0.115

0.031

specific humidity

r

g/kg

950hPa

0.112

0.030

specific humidity

r

g/kg

1000hPa

0.099

0.027

Questions & Answers on field uncertainty estimates

For information and "questions and answers" (Q&A) on the uncertainty estimates for the ERA5 host reanalysis used on the lateral boundaries of this Arctic Regional Reanalysis, see this link:
ERA5: uncertainty estimation

The field uncertainty estimates provided here apply a different approach. The below Q&A is similar to the Q&A for the global reanalysis, adapted to apply for the uncertainty estimates provided here (for the Arctic reanalysis).

...

The Arctic reanalysis system applies the so-called 3D variational data assimilation (3D-VAR) reanalysis method. The 3D-VAR method is depicted schematically in Figure 19. At fixed points in time the model state is adjusted based on the observed state, taking into account the statistics of model and observation errors. The Arctic reanalysis system is run with eight cycles per day performing analyses at 00 UTC, 03 UTC, 06 UTC, 09 UTC, 12 UTC, 15 UTC, 18 UTC and 21 UTC. The forecast lengths vary between 3 and 30 hours.

Info
iconfalse

This document has been produced in the context of the Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S).

The activities leading to these results have been contracted by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, operator of C3S on behalf of the European Union (Delegation agreement signed on 11/11/2014). All information in this document is provided "as is" and no guarantee or warranty is given that the information is fit for any particular purpose.

The users thereof use the information at their sole risk and liability. For the avoidance of all doubt , the European Commission and the European Centre for Medium - Range Weather Forecasts have no liability in respect of this document, which is merely representing the author's view.

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