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Introduction...
There is also a good spatial and temporal match between modelled and satellite-derived sea surface temperature. The reanalysis-driven run of the model tends to overestimate sea surface temperature in shelf waters, especially in the spring and summer. The GCM-driven run has higher bias, and over-estimates winter temperatures in much of the region. This is in line with the biases in the HadGEM2-ES model driving the model. Model-satellite correlation is high in all regions, though rather lower for the GCM-driven run: as noted above, a climate model is not expected to accurately reproduce conditions month-by-month, even in a hindcast.
Copernicus Climate Change Service
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