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The plots below show hit (green), misses (purple) and false alarms (cyan) of predicting precipitation above the 99th percentile of model climate, based on the ensemble median.


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The plots below show the same as above but for AIFS-ENS.

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3.4 Monthly forecasts

The plots below show forecasts of weekly precipitation anomalies for 9-15 September.

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3.5 Comparison with other centres

 

4. Experience from general performance/other cases

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