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- What's the impact of the different 'lead times' on the forecast of the storm (i.e. starting from different dates)?
- What's the difference and why between forecasts started with the operational analysis of the time and the ERA-Interim analysis?
Sensitivity experiments
The IFS is highly tuned to give the best forecast over a range of initial conditions. However, it is instructive to try some sensitivity experiments to understand the role of various physical and dynamical processes.
- What's the impact of resolution on the forecast of the storm?
- Reduce the timestep of the model - does this improve or worsen the forecast?
Further reading
This article in a recent ECMWF Newsletter has a description of student projects at the University of Stockholm using the Lothar storm case study.
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