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Placeholder CEMS-flood sub-seasonal and seasonal forecast anomaly and uncertainty computation methodology

Sub-seasonal prodcuts

There are two products sub-seasonal layers available on the EFAs EFAS and GloFAS websites, listed below:

Product no-1: Seasonal outlook

This product highlights the forecast signal on the rivers, including all river pixels above 50 km2 in EFAS and above 250 km2 in GloFAS. The forecast signal is indicated by colouring, which . The colours will represent the forecast anomaly and uncertainty categories, with 5 anomaly and 3 uncertainty sub-categories, in total with 15 different types of forecast signal. Each (large enough area) river pixel will be coloured all the time, as there is always a forecast signal, even a no signal , (i.e. perfectly normal condition, ) is going to be displayedindicated.

Each forecast lead time is going to be individually plotted in the layer, which can be animatedwith the control panel allowing the option to navigate/animate, the users being able to go back and force within the forecast horizon and check each forecast weekly lead time.


Product no-2: Seasonal outlook - basins

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