Versions Compared

Key

  • This line was added.
  • This line was removed.
  • Formatting was changed.

...

The river network map highlights the combined forecast anomaly/uncertainty signal on the rivers, including all river pixels above 250 km2 in EFAS and 1000 km2 in GloFAS. The forecast signal is indicated by colouring, with each displayed river pixel coloured at any time, reflecting the level of anomaly forecasted. Five anomaly categories (with the middle 'Near normal' one combining 3 categories of the extended 7-category version) are shown with different colours, with the uncertainty level supplementing it by one of the three predefined intensities. 

The overall expected anomaly category of the forecast (one of 5 categories, shown by colours in the river network and basin summary maps and in the hydrograph in the pop-up window; and one of 7 categories (with the middle 'Near normal' one extended into 3), highlighted in the probability evolution table in the pop-up window) is defined by the mean of the 51 ensemble member ranks (rank-mean), which represents a robust anomaly value without any random jumpiness. In addition, the uncertainty about these anomalies is also defined using the standard deviation of the 51 ensemble ranks (rank-std). Based

The overall expected anomaly category of the forecast (one of 5 categories, shown by colours in the river network and basin summary maps and in the hydrograph in the pop-up window; and one of 7 categories highlighted in the probability evolution table in the pop-up window) is defined by the mean of the 51 ensemble member ranks (rank-mean), which represents a robust anomaly value without any random jumpiness. In addition, the uncertainty about these anomalies is also defined usi

From the river network summary map, the the reporting point popup products can be accessed by clicking on the point markers on the river network layer (See more on reporting pointthe reporting points at CEMS-Flood diagnostic and web reporting points and  Placeholder CEMS-flood sub-seasonal and seasonal basins and representative stations). The popup products contain window product contains metadata information about the stations, a hydrograph with the evolution of the climatological, antecedent and latest forecast conditions, and the probability evolution table which shows probability values from the most recent forecast runs. The probability table shows probability values for 7 anomaly categories (the 5 categories of the map plus two additional categories around normal conditions) and the evolution of these probabilities from previous forecast runs.the extended 7-category version, with the larger 'Near normal' category (shown on the river network and basin summary maps and the hydrograph) extended into 3 categories; and highlights the overall expected anomaly category (as one of the 7). 

Basin summary map

The basin summary map is a geographical summary of the river network map, after averaging the signal in the predefined basins and synthesising the more complex and geographically variable information presented on the river pixels in the river network layer.

...