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Overview

The following forecast portal displays all sub-seasonal forecasts submitted to the AI Weather Quest. As a reminder, participants are challenged to submit quintile probabilistic forecasts of near-surface air temperature, mean sea level pressure and accumulated rainfall at a days 19 to 25, and 26 to 32 lead time. 

Latency of forecast display

Participants have four days to submit their forecasts (days 1 to 4). On day 5, all submitted forecasts are extracted and pushed to the forecast portal. In other words, forecasts initialised on a Thursday will not be viewable on the forecast portal until the succeeding Monday.

Navigating the home page

On the home page of the AI Weather Quest forecast portal, you will be able to see each product uploaded to the forecast portal. A product, characterised by a large thumbnail on the right, is defined for each variable submitted by an individual model. For instance, say I have a model called bestS2S and I submit forecasts for each of the three variables, then three products would appear.

On the left you can filter products by the chosen parameter, team name and individual models.

Navigating individual forecast products

When clicking on a forecast product, you can view all forecasts submitted to the AI Weather Quest for that individual model and variable. The title of the product is formatted as 'teamname: modelname forecast variable quintile probabilities', for example: 'bestS2S Mean sea level pressure quintile probabilities'.

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