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Use of the ensemble control member
Ensemble Control Forecast might be incorrectly thought of as being the deterministic model yielding deterministic results. It is not. The unperturbed Ensemble Control Forecast should be considered as only one member of the whole ensemble.
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Fig6.1-1: 1000hPa forecast from 12UTC 13 August 2010 T+156hr to 00UTC 16 August 00 UTC T+96 h, all valid at 00UTC 20 August 2010. Full lines are the 1000hPa geopotential EM overlaid by the probabilities of wind speeds >10m/s. Probabilities are coloured in 20% intervals starting from 20%.
(FUG Associated associated with Cy50r1)Done
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