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If the reduction in categorical forecast errors occurs:
- duringthe forecast integration, due to deficiencies in the NWP model, then this is "Bad". This is because the whole spectrum of resolvable atmospheric scales has not been captured.
- after the forecast integration, by some subjective or objective post-processing of the NWP output, then it is “Good”. This is because experience allows less likely features to be removed.
Any “competition” between NWP modellers and forecasters has no relevance outside the meteorological community. The usefulness of a forecast depends upon both the NWP forecast and human interpretation.
(FUG Associated associated with Cy50r1)
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