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2. Description of the event

The plots below show MSLP and 6-hour precipitation with plots every 12th hour starting from 6 January 06z and ending 7 January 18z.

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3. Predictability

  

3.1 Data assimilation

 

3.2 HRES

Observations of 24-hour maximum wind gusts on 7 January (left) and forecast for the maximum wind gusts (shade) and MSLP valid 12z (right).

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The plot below shows time-series of 10-metre mean wind for Heimoya (65.2N/11E) from HRES (red) and observations (black).

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3.3 ENS

The plots below show EFI and SOT for 24-hour maximum wind gusts on 7 January from different initial times.

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3.4 Monthly forecasts


3.5 Comparison with other centres

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