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At extended range the day-to-day trajectories are affected by substantially larger uncertainty. Therefore, the evolution of the forecast anomalies is represented by the Probability Distribution Function (PDF) based on daily values of individual member projections verifying a given week.

Test products

Please note that these test products are now operational and are here:https://apps.ecmwf.int/webapps/opencharts/products/extended-2dim-pdf