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The plots below show EFI for 3-day precipitation 3-5 OctoberNovember, from different initial times.
The plots below show EFI for 3-day integrated water vapor flux 3-5 October, from different initial times.
The plot below shows the forecast evolution plot for 72-hour precipitation valid 3 November 00UTC - 6 November 00UTC for the 1x1 degree box over south-eastern Bosnia. The forecast values are average of the observation positions as seen in the map under HRES sub-section above. Mean of obs - green, HRES –red, ENS - blue box-and-whisker, Model climate – red box-and-whisker. Triangle marks the maximum in the model climate based on 1200 forecasts.
3.4 Monthly forecasts
The plots below show weekly anomalies of precipitation for 1-7 November from different initial dates. The extended-range forecast from 25 October was the first to pick up the wet signal.
The plots below snow the same as above but for z500 anomalies. The capturing of the precipitation signal in the plots above was connected to the prediction of the trough over Western Europe, that brought moist air towards the Balkans.
3.5 Comparison with other centres
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