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Table of Contents
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Introduction

This report gives an overview of the statistical downscaling of daily aggregated ERA5 reanalysis data towards a 0.1° grid. This downscaling is realized by applying grid and parameter-specific regression equations to an interpolated ERA5 data set. The equations are trained on operational ECMWF HRES model data.
The approach consists of the following main steps:

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  1. The selected bias correction method has its largest benefits in mountainous areas, at coast lines and at lakes
  2. Seasonal correction on top of the simple bias correction further improves the accuracy of the derived correction equations.
  3. The approach works remarkable well for 3 of 4 groups of elements. The averaged relative reduction of MAE is between 30% and 60%. These are:
    1. Temperature parameters
    2. Humidity parameters
    3. Wind speed
  4. The correction models for solar radiation flux reach a MAE improvement of 2% to 14%.
  5. For cloud cover the correction has only a minor effect for most of the grid points. However, mountainous regions still benefit from the correction with a MAE improvement of 2%-8%.


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This document has been produced in the context of the Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S).

The activities leading to these results have been contracted by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, operator of C3S on behalf of the European Union (Delegation agreement Agreement signed on 11/11/2014 and Contribution Agreement signed on 22/07/2021). All information in this document is provided "as is" and no guarantee or warranty is given that the information is fit for any particular purpose.

The users thereof use the information at their sole risk and liability. For the avoidance of all doubt , the European Commission and the European Centre for Medium - Range Weather Forecasts have no liability in respect of this document, which is merely representing the author's view.

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