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General
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EDM is available for three streams:
Historical: This dataset uses climate predictors from the ERA5 reanalysis and retrieved from the CDS and averaged at NUTS0 (country). No bias adjustment has been applied. |
Seasonal Forecasts: This dataset uses climate predictors from ECMWF System 5, Météo-France ARPEGE System 7 and Met Office GloSEA5 System 14. Seasonal Forecasts are retrieved from the CDS and are subsequently bias adjusted via quantile mapping. The forecast datasets are updated monthly when the raw forecast of each system is available and averaged for NUTS0 (country). |
Projections: This dataset uses climate predictors 11 regional climate model (RCM)/global climate model (GCM) combinations for the EURO-CORDEX project (Table 1, Appendix) and for two Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5), with RCP2.6 also added for two of the RCM/GCM combinations. Historical forcing is used from 1979-2005, and RCP forcing from 2006-2100. The original EURO-CORDEX simulations are retrieved from the producers (some were already available on the Earth System Grid Federation (ESGF) portal) and are subsequently bias adjusted by applying the Cumulative Distribution Function transform (CDFt) method. The gridded |
Units
Electricity demand (energy): MWh, labelled as NRG in the output files. Electricity demand (mean power): MW, labelled as PWR in the output files.
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Electricity Demand (EDM) Load, Power, Energy, ENTSO-E, Generalized Additive Models.
Contact
copernicus-support@ecmwf.int |
Dataset coverage
Geographic area
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Daily, monthly, seasonal (DJF, MAM, JJA, SON) and annual mean power (PWR, in MW) and cumulated energy consumption (NRG, in MWh).
Time period
Historical: 1979 to present (ca. 1 month behind real time); updated every month based on ERA5T data availability. | |||
Seasonal Forecasts: The hindcasts cover the 1993-2016 period for the three models used by C3S Energy: ECMWF Sys5, Météo-France Sys7 and UK MetOffice Sys14. ECMWF has all the month, MTFR SY07 currently covers October to April with the rest of the months to be completed by mid- May 2020 as this is a new system. METO SY14 ranges from June to April (notice that METO SY14 is a rolling release model, hindcast have to be computed each months). The forecasts have been computed every month from the first month of availability in the current version on the CDS: | |||
Forecast availability | |||
ECMWF Sys5 | From January 2017 | ||
MTFR Sys7 | From October 2019 | ||
METO Sys14 | From June 2019 | ||
Projections: 1971-2100 |
Spatial resolution
Data is available at NUTS0 level for the 32 countries listed above.
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Original data source
Energy data: ENTSO-E Power Statistics
Historical: ERA5 |
Seasonal Forecasts:
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Projections: EURO-CORDEX Climate indicators (air temperature, wind speed and solar radiation) available via the Earth System Grid Federation (ESGF) portal. |
Tools used in the production of indicators
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Table 1: List of the 11 EURO-CORDEX simulations and the institutes that provided the data.
Short | Driving | RCM | Contact Institute | Period |
HIIC | ECEARTH | HIRAM | Danish Meteorological Institute (DMI) | 1951 - 2100 |
RAIC | ECEARTH | RACMO | Royal Netherlands National Meteorological Institute (KNMI) | 1950 - 2100 |
RCIC | ECEARTH | RCA | Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute (SMHI) | 1970 - 2100 |
RAMO | HADGEM | RACMO | KNMI | 1951 - 2098 |
RCMO | HADGEM | RCA | SMHI | 1970 - 2098 |
ReMO | HADGEM | REGCM | International Centre for Theoretical Physics (ICTP) | 1971 - 2099 |
WRIP | IPSL | WRF 381P | Institute Pierre Simon Laplace (IPSL) | 1951 - 2100 |
RCMP | MPI | RCA | SMHI | 1970 - 2100 |
CCMP | MPI | CCLM | Climate Limited-area Modelling Community | 1950 - 2100 |
HINC | NORESM | HIRAM | Danish Meteorological Institute (DMI) | 1951 - 2100 |
ALCN | CNRM | ALADIN63 | CNRM (Centre National de Recherches Meteorologiques, Toulouse 31057, France) | 1952 - 2100 |
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This document has been produced in the context of the Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S). The activities leading to these results have been contracted by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, operator of C3S on behalf of the European Union (Delegation agreement Agreement signed on 11/11/2014 and Contribution Agreement signed on 22/07/2021). All information in this document is provided "as is" and no guarantee or warranty is given that the information is fit for any particular purpose. The users thereof use the information at their sole risk and liability. For the avoidance of all doubt , the European Commission and the European Centre for Medium - Range Weather Forecasts have no liability in respect of this document, which is merely representing the author's view. |
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