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Status:
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Finalised Material from: Linus, Fernando, Ervin
Discussed in the following Daily reports:
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3.1 Data assimilation
3.2 HRES
3.3 ENS
The plots below show the EFI for 2-metre temperature valid 22-25 January.
The plot below shows the evolution of ensemble forecasts of 850 hPa temperature for Hong Kong valid 23-24 January.
3.4 Monthly forecasts
The plot below shows the EFI for 2t from Thursday's week 1 forecast on the left and the CDFs of 2t anomalies over the pink box
for all forecasts valid for the week starting on 18 January. Just the latest 2 forecasts have the cold anomaly in place. The analysis
of 2t anomalies is also provided.
3.5 Comparison with other centres
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5. Good and bad aspects of the forecasts for the event
- Extreme forecasts at least 1 week in advance
- Jumpy forecasts for 2-metre temperature (reported fromXiaohua Yang, DMI) see
PDF name 20160126.20160126_SEChina_1.pdf