| CSS Stylesheet |
|---|
.bartrgle {font-family:monospace;font-size:15px } .verybad { color:#ff0000 } .verygood { color:#008000 } .bad { color:#ff0000 } .good { color:#008000 } .neutral { color:#808080 } .boxgood { font-size:0px; display: inline-block ; width:5px; border:1px solid #77e577 ; overflow:hidden } .boxsiggood { font-size:0px; display: inline-block ; width:5px; border:1px solid #389326; background-color: #389326 !important ; overflow:hidden } .boxbad { font-size:0px; display: inline-block ; width:5px; border:1px solid #ff9f9f; overflow:hidden } .boxsigbad { font-size:0px; display: inline-block ; width:5px; border:1px solid #ff0000 ; background-color: #ff0000 !important ; overflow:hidden } .boxnone { font-size:0px; display: inline-block ; width:5px; border:1px solid black; overflow:hidden } |
High resolution
Comparison of scores of IFS cycle 43r3 (combination of alpha and beta testing data) and IFS cycle 43r1 (the current operational cycle) verified by the respective analyses or radiosonde and SYNOP observations for the period 00 UTC on 1 June 2016 to 00 UTC on 10 May 2017 (687 forecast runs).
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| Table of Contents |
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High resolution
| Extratropical Northern Hemisphere | Extratropical Southern Hemisphere | Tropics | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anomaly correlation/ SEEPS | RMS error/ Std. dev.of error | Anomaly correlation/ SEEPS | RMS error/ Std. dev.of error | Anomaly correlation/ SEEPS | RMS error/ Std. dev.of error | |||
| Analysis | Geopotential | 100 | △▲▲▲△△△△░░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▲▲▲△△△△░░░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ||
| 250 | ▲▲░△△░█░██ | ▲▲△△△░█░░█ | ▲▲▲▲▲△░░░█ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲░░░░ | ||||
| 500 | ▲△█░██████ | ▲▲░░██████ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲△░░█ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲△△░█ | ||||
| 850 | ▲▲△△██████ | ▲▲▲▲░█████ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲△△██ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲░█ | ||||
| Mean sea level pressure | ▲▲▲△██████ | ▲▲▲▲░█████ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲△░██ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△░█ | ||||
| Temperature | 100 | ▲▲▲▲▲▲△░██ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲△░△░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▲█▼▽████░█ | ▲▼▼▼░░▲▲▲▲ | |
| 250 | ▲▲▲▲△△░░░░ | ▲▲▲▲▲△░░░░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲△△░░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△ | ▽▼█▲△█████ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ||
| 500 | ▲▲▲▲△░██░█ | ▲▲▲▲△░█░░█ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲░░░█ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲░░░█ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△ | ▲▲▲█▼▼▽▼▼▼ | ||
| 850 | ▲▲▲▲△░░░░█ | ▲▲▲△░█████ | ▲▲▲▲▲△░△░░ | ▲▲▲△░█████ | █▼▼▼▽▽▽██░ | ▽▼▼▼▼▼▼░██ | ||
| 1000 | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△░░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲░░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△△ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ||
| Wind | 100 | ▲▲▲▲▲▲△░░░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△△△ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲△░░█ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲△△░░ | ▲░▼▽█░░░░░ | ▲░▼▽░△▲▲▲▲ | |
| 250 | ▲▲▲▲▲△████ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲░░░█ | ▲▲▲▲▲△░░░░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲△△░░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△△░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ||
| 500 | ▲▲▲▲△░█░██ | ▲▲▲▲△░████ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲△░░█ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲△△░░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ||
| 850 | ▲▲▲▲△█████ | ▲▲▲▲△░████ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲△△░█ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲△△░█ | ▲▲▲▲▲△░░░█ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ||
| 1000 | ▲▲△△██████ | ▲▲△△██░███ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲△△░█ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲△△░█ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△█ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ||
| Relative humidity | 250 | ▼▼██████░█ | ▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▼ | ▼░░△△△░███ | ▼▼▼▼▽▽▽▼▼▼ | ▼▼▼▼▼▽░███ | ▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▼ | |
| 700 | █▲▲▲▲░█░██ | ░░░░△██░░░ | ▼▲▲▲△△△△░△ | ▼▲▲▲░█████ | ▼▼▼▼▽█░░██ | ▼△▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ||
| 1000 | ▲▲▲▲▲△░███ | ▲▲▲▲▲░░███ | ▲▲▲░░██░██ | ░██░░░░█░▽ | ▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▽░ | ▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▼ | ||
| 10m wind at sea | ▲▲▲▲░█████ | ▲▲▲▲░███░█ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲△△██ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲△△██ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△░█ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△△ | ||
| Significant wave height | ▲▲░░█░░███ | ▲▲░░██░░██ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲△▲░█ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲△▲△█ | ▲▲░██░░░██ | ▲▲△░████░△ | ||
| Mean wave period | ▲▲▲░██▽░░░ | ▲▲▲░██░░░░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△▲△ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲△░░█ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲░░█ | ||
| Observations | Geopotential | 100 | ▲▲▲▲△△△░░░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△ | ▲▲▲▲△△▲░█░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ||
| 250 | ░█░△░░░△░█ | ▼▽░░███△░█ | ▽█░△░△░△██ | ▼░▲▲░▲░░██ | ||||
| 500 | ░█░░█░░△░█ | ▼░░░██░△░█ | ░█△△△△△░██ | ▼█△△△△△░██ | ||||
| 850 | △△▲△██░░██ | ▲▲▲▲░░░△░█ | ▽░░░△░△░██ | ▼▽░△△░░░█░ | ||||
| Temperature | 100 | ▲▲▲▲△░░△△░ | ░▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | █▽░█░█░△░█ | ░▽░█△△△▲△△ | ░░▽███████ | ▼▼▼▼▽░△▲▲▲ | |
| 250 | ▲▲▲▲███░△█ | ▲▲▲▲████░█ | △▲△△░△░△█░ | ▲▲▲▲△△△△█△ | ▼▼▽█▽▽▽░█░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ||
| 500 | ▲▲▲△██░░△░ | ▲▲▲△░██░△░ | ▲░░△█░█░░█ | ▲░△▲█△░░██ | ▲▲▲▲△△▲△△█ | ▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▼ | ||
| 850 | █░░░░░█░░█ | ▼▽██░██░░█ | ░░△░△△█△△△ | ░░△░△░█░△░ | ░░██░█░△░░ | △░▲△▲░▲▲△▲ | ||
| 2m temperature | ▼▼▼▽███△░█ | ▽░△░░▲▲▲▲△ | █▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | |||||
| Wind | 100 | ▲▲▲▲△△△░░░ | ▲▲▲▲▲△△△░░ | ░████░░█△█ | △████△░█░░ | ▼▼▼▼▽░████ | ▼▼▼▼▽███░░ | |
| 250 | ▲▲▲▲△░█░░█ | ▲▲▲▲△░░░░█ | ▲▲△░█△░△██ | ▲△△△░△△△░░ | ░░△△▲▲△░░░ | ░▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ||
| 500 | ▲▲▲▲░██░░█ | ▲▲▲▲░██░░█ | ▲▲▲▲░△░△░█ | ▲▲▲▲░△░△░░ | ▲▲▲▲▲△▲░██ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△▲ | ||
| 850 | ▲▲▲░░█████ | ▲▲▲△███░░░ | ░░░░░▲△░▲░ | △░△░░▲△△△█ | ▼▼▽██░██░░ | ▽▽█░△░△▲△△ | ||
| 10m wind | ▲▲▲▲░█░△△░ | █░░░░△█░░░ | ▲△▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | |||||
| Relative humidity | 250 | ▼▼▼░▽░░░░▼ | ▲△△░▽██░█▼ | ███░△█░█△░ | ▽░▽░░██░██ | ░▼▽▼░█░▽▽▽ | ▼▼▼▼░█▽░░▽ | |
| 700 | █△▲██░█░░░ | ▽█△░░▽░▽▽▼ | ████△█░░██ | ████△█░░██ | ░▼▼░▽░████ | █░░██░░△░△ | ||
| 2m dew-point | ░██░░██░░░ | ▲▲△░░▲△△░△ | ▲░██░███░░ | |||||
| Total cloud cover | ▲▲▲▲▲▲△▲▲░ | ▲▲▲▲△▲△░░█ | ▲█▽██░████ | |||||
| 24h precipitation | ▲▲▲░▲△░███ | ░△█△△△░░△░ | █░█░△░░███ | △░░▲△░░░░░ | ██░░░▽▽██░ | △△░▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ||
| Europe | Northern America | East Asia | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anomaly correlation/ SEEPS | RMS error/ Std. dev.of error | Anomaly correlation/ SEEPS | RMS error/ Std. dev.of error | Anomaly correlation/ SEEPS | RMS error/ Std. dev.of error | |||
| Analysis | Geopotential | 100 | ▲▲▲△△░△░░░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△△△ | △▲△████░░░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲△△░△ | △░████████ | █▲▲▲▲▲△░△△ |
| 250 | ▲▲△△░█████ | ▲▲▲△░█░░██ | △░██░████░ | ▲░░░██████ | ▲████████░ | ▲██░████△△ | ||
| 500 | ▲△░░██░░██ | ▲△▲░██░△██ | ▲△██░█████ | ▲▲△░█░████ | ▲██░██████ | █▽███████░ | ||
| 850 | ▲△△△██░░█░ | ▲▲▲▲██░△█░ | ▲▲░░█░█░░░ | ▲▲△░█░█░░█ | ▲░███░░███ | △░░░█░░██░ | ||
| Mean sea level pressure | ▲▲△△███░█░ | ▲▲▲▲██░░█░ | ▲▲▲░███░░░ | ▲▲▲△████░░ | ▲▲███░░███ | ▲▲△░░△░██░ | ||
| Temperature | 100 | ▲▲▲▲▲░░███ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲△░░█ | ▲▲▲△███░░░ | ▲▲▲▲▲░△△△△ | ▲▲▲▲░░░█░△ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | |
| 250 | ▲▲▲△░██△△░ | ▲▲▲△░██△░█ | ▲▲▲△△█░░█░ | ▲▲▲▲△█░██░ | ▲△△█████░░ | ▲▲▲△░░█░░█ | ||
| 500 | ▲▲▲░░███░█ | ▲▲▲▲△███░█ | ▲▲△███████ | ▲▲▲░██████ | ▲░░░██████ | ▲▲▲△░███△△ | ||
| 850 | ▲▲▲△░██░░█ | ▲▲▲△░██░░█ | ▲▲▲△░█████ | ▲▲▲△████░░ | ▲▲▲░░░░███ | ▲▲▲△△░░░░█ | ||
| 1000 | ▲▲▲▲▲██△░█ | ▲▲▲▲▲░░△░░ | ▲▲▲▲△░████ | ▲▲▲▲▲░░███ | ▲▲▲▲△△░░██ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲△△░░ | ||
| Wind | 100 | ▲▲▲▲▲△░░██ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲△░██ | ▲▲▲▲░██░█░ | ▲▲▲▲△██░██ | ▲▲▲▲░△░░░░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲△░△△ | |
| 250 | ▲▲▲▲△░█△░█ | ▲▲▲▲△░█░██ | ▲▲△░░████░ | ▲▲△░░█████ | ▲△░░█░██░░ | ▲▲△△░△██△░ | ||
| 500 | ▲▲▲△░█░△██ | ▲▲▲▲△█░░██ | ▲▲▲░░█████ | ▲▲▲░████░█ | ▲▲░███████ | ▲▲░████░△░ | ||
| 850 | ▲▲▲▲░██░░█ | ▲▲▲▲░██░█░ | ▲▲░█░███░░ | ▲▲░░░███░▽ | ▲▲░░██████ | ▲▲█░███░△░ | ||
| 1000 | ▲▲▲△██████ | ▲▲▲△████░▽ | ▲▲░░████░▽ | ▲▲△░█░███▽ | ▲░█░█░████ | ▲△██████░█ | ||
| Relative humidity | 250 | ░░△△███░░░ | ▼▼▼░▼▼▽░░▼ | ▼▽█░░█████ | ▼▼▼▽▽▼▼▽▽░ | ▼▼██████░█ | ▼▼▼▼▼▽▽░█░ | |
| 700 | ▲▲▲▲░███░░ | ▲▲▲△█░█░▼▼ | █△▲░░██░██ | ██░███░▽▽░ | ░░█████░██ | ▼▼░███████ | ||
| 1000 | ▲▲▲▲△░░░░█ | ▲▲▲▲▲░░░░█ | ▲▲▲▲△█░▽░█ | ▲▲▲△△█░▽░░ | ▲█░░██△███ | ▲█████△███ | ||
| Observations | Geopotential | 100 | ███░△░░░░█ | ░▲▲▲▲△△△░░ | █▲△████░░△ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲△△░△ | █△△△██████ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲△░░░ |
| 250 | ░△△△░██░░█ | ▼█△△███░██ | ░░█░███░░░ | ░████░░███ | ░▽██░████░ | ▼▼░█░███░░ | ||
| 500 | △░△△░░░░░█ | ▼░△░██░△██ | ▲△░████░░░ | ▼░███░░███ | ▽░█░░█████ | ▽▽██████░░ | ||
| 850 | △△▲△░░░░██ | ░▲▲▲██△△██ | ░▲░░█░██░░ | ▲▲░░█▽███░ | ▽████░██░█ | ▼█░██░████ | ||
| Temperature | 100 | ▲△▲░░██░░█ | ▽█▲▲▲░████ | ░△░▲████░░ | █△△▲░█░░░░ | ▲██░████░░ | △░△▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | |
| 250 | ▲△▲△███△▲█ | ▲△▲░███░△█ | ▲▲△△███░█░ | ▲▲▲▲█░██░█ | ██░███████ | △▲▲███████ | ||
| 500 | ▲▲▲△████░█ | ▲▲▲▲░███░█ | ▲△░██████░ | ▲▲░██░░███ | ▲░░████░░░ | ░░██████△░ | ||
| 850 | ░▲▲△△██░△█ | █░△░△░█░░█ | ▲△△░██░███ | ▲△△███░█░░ | ░░█░██████ | ▽░█△░█░░██ | ||
| 2m temperature | ██△△△██░░░ | ▼█████████ | ▼▼▼▼░██░██ | |||||
| Wind | 100 | △▲▲△▲△░███ | ▲▲▲△△△░███ | ░△█░░██░██ | ▲░█△░█████ | ▲█████░██░ | ▲△░△░░░█░░ | |
| 250 | ▲▲▲▲░██△██ | ▲▲▲▲△░█░██ | ░██░█████░ | ▲░░░██████ | ▲████░██░△ | ▲░░░░░██△░ | ||
| 500 | ▲▲▲△░█░△██ | ▲▲▲△░██░█░ | ▲▲▲△░██░██ | ▲▲▲░██░██░ | ░░░███████ | ░█████░█░█ | ||
| 850 | △△▲△██████ | ▲▲▲△███░█░ | ░▲██░███░░ | △▲██░░██░▽ | ████░██░██ | ░███░███░█ | ||
| 10m wind | ██▲▲█░█░██ | ░██░█░█░░░ | △△░████░△█ | |||||
| Relative humidity | 250 | ████░████░ | ▲▲△░░████▽ | █░█△░██░█░ | ░█░█████░▽ | ▼▼▽▼▽▽░▽██ | ░██████░░█ | |
| 700 | ░░▲░█████░ | █░▲█████░▽ | ░▲△░█░░███ | █△░░█░▽██░ | █░██░░█▽░░ | ▽▼░░▽░░▽░░ | ||
| 2m dew-point | ▲▲▲▲▲░△△△△ | ▲▲▲░█░████ | ▼▼▼▽▼█████ | |||||
| Total cloud cover | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲░ | ▲△░△░███░█ | ▲△██░█△███ | |||||
| 24h precipitation | ▲▲▲░△░██░█ | △△█░░██░██ | ███░░█████ | █░△░△░░░△█ | ▲░███░░███ | ░████△█░░░ | ||
| Northern Atlantic | Northern Pacific | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anomaly correlation/ SEEPS | RMS error/ Std. dev.of error | Anomaly correlation/ SEEPS | RMS error/ Std. dev.of error | |||
| Analysis | Geopotential | 100 | ▲△△░△░█░░█ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△░█ | ██████████ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△ |
| 250 | ▲▲██░░████ | ▲▲△░░████░ | ▲██████░░░ | ▲░██░██░██ | ||
| 500 | ▲▲░█░███░█ | ▲▲░░████░░ | ▲████████░ | ▲░████░░██ | ||
| 850 | ▲▲███░██░█ | ▲▲░░██░░░█ | ▲░████░███ | ▲░████░░██ | ||
| Mean sea level pressure | ▲△███░██░█ | ▲▲░░█░░░░█ | ▲░████░███ | ▲░████░░██ | ||
| Temperature | 100 | ▲▲▲░△░████ | ▲▲▲▲▲△███░ | ▲▲▲△░░████ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲░░△ | |
| 250 | ▲▲▲▲░█████ | ▲▲▲▲▲░███░ | ▲▲░░██░███ | ▲▲▲△░█████ | ||
| 500 | ▲▲░░█░███░ | ▲▲▲△░░████ | ▲▲░████░░░ | ▲▲░█░█████ | ||
| 850 | ▲▲△△░████░ | ▲▲░░█████░ | ▲░█████░░█ | ▲█▽▽▽▽░▽▽░ | ||
| 1000 | ▲▲▲▲△△△███ | ▲▲▲▲▲△△░░█ | ▲▲▲░░░████ | ▲▲▲▲△△████ | ||
| Wind | 100 | ▲▲▲▲△△░███ | ▲▲▲▲▲△████ | ▲▲▲░█░██░█ | ▲▲▲△░░████ | |
| 250 | ▲▲△░░░█░▽█ | ▲▲▲△△░████ | ▲▲░█░░████ | ▲▲░░△░████ | ||
| 500 | ▲▲▲△░███▽█ | ▲▲▲△░███░█ | ▲▲△░░█████ | ▲▲░░██░███ | ||
| 850 | ▲▲▲△░███░█ | ▲▲▲▲░███░█ | ▲▲████░███ | ▲▲████░███ | ||
| 1000 | ▲▲░△░██░░█ | ▲▲░△███░░█ | ▲▲█░██░███ | ▲△█░██░███ | ||
| Relative humidity | 250 | ░░█░██░█░░ | ▼▼▼▽▼▼▼▼▼▼ | ██░░██████ | ▼▼▼▼▽▼▼▼▽▽ | |
| 700 | △▲△▲░███▽█ | ░▲△▲░███▽░ | ██░███████ | ░█░███████ | ||
| 1000 | ▲▲△△░███░░ | ▲▲░░███░░░ | △█░▼▼▼▼▼▽░ | █▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▼ | ||
| 10m wind at sea | ▲▲△△░███░█ | ▲▲△▲░██░██ | ▲▲█████░██ | ▲▲█████░░█ | ||
| Significant wave height | ▲▲░△██████ | ▲▲░△███░██ | ▲░███░░███ | ▲░████░███ | ||
| Mean wave period | ▲▲△░░█░░██ | ▲▲△░░░█░██ | ▲▲░███░█░█ | ▲△░███░░▽░ | ||
| East Asia | Astralia New Zealand | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anomaly correlation/ SEEPS | RMS error/ Std. dev.of error | Anomaly correlation/ SEEPS | RMS error/ Std. dev.of error | |||
| Analysis | Geopotential | 100 | △░████████ | █▲▲▲▲▲△░△△ | △▼░███░░░░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ |
| 250 | ▲████████░ | ▲██░████△△ | ▲░░███△△░░ | ▲△△△██░░░░ | ||
| 500 | ▲██░██████ | █▽███████░ | ▲△△░█░△△△░ | ▲△△△█░△△░░ | ||
| 850 | ▲░███░░███ | △░░░█░░██░ | ▲░△△░░△△△█ | ▲██░░░░△░█ | ||
| Mean sea level pressure | ▲▲███░░███ | ▲▲△░░△░██░ | ▲░△░█░░△△█ | ▲█░░██░△░█ | ||
| Temperature | 100 | ▲▲▲▲░░░█░△ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▲▲▲△██░░░█ | ▲▲▲▲△△▲△▲△ | |
| 250 | ▲△△█████░░ | ▲▲▲△░░█░░█ | ▲▲△△░█████ | ▲▲▲▲▲░░███ | ||
| 500 | ▲░░░██████ | ▲▲▲△░███△△ | ▲▲▲░██░░░░ | ▲▲▲△██░░░█ | ||
| 850 | ▲▲▲░░░░███ | ▲▲▲△△░░░░█ | ▲▲▲░██░░░△ | ▲△△██░█░█░ | ||
| 1000 | ▲▲▲▲△△░░██ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲△△░░ | ▲▲▲▲░△▲△△░ | ▲▲▲▲▲△▲▲△░ | ||
| Wind | 100 | ▲▲▲▲░△░░░░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲△░△△ | ▲▲▲░░█████ | ▲▲△░░░░█░█ | |
| 250 | ▲△░░█░██░░ | ▲▲△△░△██△░ | ▲▲▲△██░███ | ▲▲▲▲██░░░░ | ||
| 500 | ▲▲░███████ | ▲▲░████░△░ | ▲▲▲▲░░△░░█ | ▲▲▲▲△△△△░░ | ||
| 850 | ▲▲░░██████ | ▲▲█░███░△░ | ▲▲△△█░░△██ | ▲▲▲▲░△░△░█ | ||
| 1000 | ▲░█░█░████ | ▲△██████░█ | ▲△△△█░█△██ | ▲▲△△░░█░░█ | ||
| Relative humidity | 250 | ▼▼██████░█ | ▼▼▼▼▼▽▽░█░ | ▼▼▼██░█░░█ | ▼▼▼▽▽▽░▼▼▽ | |
| 700 | ░░█████░██ | ▼▼░███████ | ████████░█ | ███░██░█░░ | ||
| 1000 | ▲█░░██△███ | ▲█████△███ | ▼▼▽░░░██░░ | █░░██░██░░ | ||
| Observations | Geopotential | 100 | █△△△██████ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲△░░░ | △▲△△█░░███ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ |
| 250 | ░▽██░████░ | ▼▼░█░███░░ | ░░██░█████ | ▽█△░█████░ | ||
| 500 | ▽░█░░█████ | ▽▽██████░░ | ██████░░██ | ▼░░███████ | ||
| 850 | ▽████░██░█ | ▼█░██░████ | ▽▽░████░△█ | ░██████░██ | ||
| Temperature | 100 | ▲██░████░░ | △░△▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | █░█░██████ | ███░████░△ | |
| 250 | ██░███████ | △▲▲███████ | ░△△██░░███ | ░▲▲████░█░ | ||
| 500 | ▲░░████░░░ | ░░██████△░ | ████░█████ | ░█░██░░█░░ | ||
| 850 | ░░█░██████ | ▽░█△░█░░██ | ████░██░△█ | ░███░██░██ | ||
| 2m temperature | ▼▼▼▼░██░██ | △△△△██△△△█ | ||||
| Wind | 100 | ▲█████░██░ | ▲△░△░░░█░░ | △░█░█████░ | ░░██░███░░ | |
| 250 | ▲████░██░△ | ▲░░░░░██△░ | ██░█░░△░█░ | ░█░░██░△█░ | ||
| 500 | ░░░███████ | ░█████░█░█ | ██░█░█░░██ | △█░░░██△█░ | ||
| 850 | ████░██░██ | ░███░███░█ | ██░░░█△△██ | ░███░█░▲░█ | ||
| 10m wind | △△░████░△█ | ███░██████ | ||||
| Relative humidity | 250 | ▼▼▽▼▽▽░▽██ | ░██████░░█ | █░██░░███░ | █░████░██░ | |
| 700 | █░██░░█▽░░ | ▽▼░░▽░░▽░░ | ██▽░█████░ | ░█░░███░█░ | ||
| 2m dew-point | ▼▼▼▽▼█████ | ▲██████░░░ | ||||
| Total cloud cover | ▲△██░█△███ | ░█▽░█████░ | ||||
| 24h precipitation | ▲░███░░███ | ░████△█░░░ | ███████░░█ | ██░░██░██░ | ||
| Arctic | Antarctic | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anomaly correlation/ SEEPS | RMS error/ Std. dev.of error | Anomaly correlation/ SEEPS | RMS error/ Std. dev.of error | |||
| Analysis | Geopotential | 100 | ▲░█████░░█ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲△△△△ | ▲▲██░△△░░░ | ▲▲▲△△△△▲△░ |
| 250 | ▲░███░█░░█ | ▲░█░█░░△░█ | ▲▲△△░░░░██ | ▲▲△△△░△△░█ | ||
| 500 | ▲░█████░░█ | ▲△█████░██ | ▲▲△△△△░░░█ | ▲▲▲▲△△△△░█ | ||
| 850 | ▲△░█░░████ | ▲▲░███████ | ▲▲△△△△△░██ | ▲▲▲▲▲△▲▲░█ | ||
| Mean sea level pressure | ▲▲░█░░████ | ▲▲△██░████ | ▲▲░△△△△░██ | ▲▲△▲▲△▲△░█ | ||
| Temperature | 100 | ▲▲▲△░░░░░░ | ▲▲▲▲▲△░△△△ | ▲▲▲△░△░△△█ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△░█ | |
| 250 | ▲▲▲△██████ | ▲▲▲▲░█████ | ▲▲▲▲▲△△△░█ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△░ | ||
| 500 | ▲▲░██░██░█ | ▲▲▲░█░██░█ | ▲▲▲▲▲░█░██ | ▲▲▲▲△△█░██ | ||
| 850 | ▲▲█████░██ | ▲▲░████░██ | ▲▲△░░█░░██ | ▲▲△△△░░░██ | ||
| 1000 | ▲▲▲▲▲░░░██ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△░ | ▲▲▲△░█△░██ | ▲▲▲▲▲△▲▲██ | ||
| Wind | 100 | ▲▲▲▲△░░░░█ | ▲▲▲▲△△░░△█ | ▲▲▲▲▲△△△░█ | ▲▲▲▲▲△△△██ | |
| 250 | ▲▲△░█░█░░█ | ▲▲△△░△░△░█ | ▲▲▲▲△░█△░█ | ▲▲▲▲△△░△░█ | ||
| 500 | ▲▲▲░██░░█░ | ▲▲▲░██░░░█ | ▲▲▲▲△△░░░█ | ▲▲▲▲△△△░██ | ||
| 850 | ▲▲△░█████░ | ▲▲▲░██████ | ▲▲▲▲▲░░░█░ | ▲▲▲▲▲░△░██ | ||
| 1000 | ▲▲░██░░█░░ | ▲▲░██░░███ | ▲▲▲▲△░░░██ | ▲▲▲▲△░△░██ | ||
| Relative humidity | 250 | ▲█░█░███░█ | △▼▼▼▼▼▽▽░▽ | ░███░██░█░ | ░████████░ | |
| 700 | ▽█△░░█████ | ▼░░███░░█░ | △▲▲▲░△░░█░ | █░░░█░█░██ | ||
| 1000 | ▲▲▲▲△█████ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▲▲▲████░██ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△ | ||
| Observations | 2m temperature | ▽░██░██△██ | ▼▽███░▲△░█ | |||
| 10m wind | ░▲△░█▽█░██ | ██░██△░███ | ||||
| 2m dew-point | ▽▽██░██░██ | ██░░█▲△░██ | ||||
| Total cloud cover | ▲▲▲▲▲△█△△△ | ▲▲△██░████ | ||||
| 24h precipitation | △░▲█△░██░█ | △░░░░███△█ | █░█△█░△██░ | ░█░███████ | ||
Ensemble
| Extratropical Northern Hemisphere | Extratropical Southern Hemisphere | Tropics | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EM RMS error | CRPS | EM RMS error | CRPS | EM RMS error | CRPS | |||
| Analysis | Geopotential | 200 | ▲▲▲▲░█████ | ▲▲▲▲△░███░ | ▲▲▲▲▲△░███ | ▲▲▲▲▲△░██░ | ||
| 500 | ▲▲▲△██████ | ▲▲▲▲██████ | ▲▲▲▲▲△███░ | ▲▲▲▲△△░██░ | ||||
| 850 | ▲▲▲△██████ | ▲▲▲△██████ | ▲▲△△▲△████ | ▲▲△▲▲△░███ | ||||
| 1000 | ▲▲▲△██████ | ▲▲▲△██████ | ▲▲△△▲△████ | ▲▲░△△△████ | ||||
| Temperature | 200 | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▼▼▽█░△△△△△ | ▼▼▽█░△△░△░ | |
| 500 | ▲▲▲▲▲△░█░△ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲△△△▲ | ▲▲▲▲▲△░██░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲△░░△ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ||
| 850 | ▲▲△░██████ | ▲▲▲▲██████ | ▲░████░░██ | ▲▲▲░░█████ | ▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▼ | █▼▼▼▼▼▼▽▽▼ | ||
| Wind speed | 200 | ▲▲▲▲△░███░ | ▲▲▲▲▲△██░░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲△△△△ | ▲▲▲▲▲△░░△△ | ▲▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▼ | ▲▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▼ | |
| 500 | ▲▲▲▲△░███░ | ▲▲▲▲▲△░██░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲△△△△ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲△░░△ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ||
| 850 | ▲▲▲▲△█████ | ▲▲▲▲△█████ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲△△△△ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△△△ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△▲▲ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ||
| Observations | Geopotential | 500 | ▼▼████████ | ▼▼▼░░█████ | ||||
| Temperature | 850 | ▼▼▼░░░██░█ | █△░░░░░███ | ░█░█▽▼▽▽░░ | ||||
| Wind speed | 850 | ░██░█░░░▽█ | △█░░██░███ | █▽██▽▽▼▽░▽ | ||||
| 2m temperature | ▼▼▼▼▽▽██░░ | ░█░△▲▲△△█░ | ▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▼ | |||||
| 10m wind | █░▲▲▲▲▲▲△▲ | ██░█████△░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | |||||
| 24h precipitation | ▲▲▲▲△███░░ | △△░░░█████ | █▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▼ | |||||
| Europe | Northern America | East Asia | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EM RMS error | CRPS | EM RMS error | CRPS | EM RMS error | CRPS | |||
| Analysis | Geopotential | 200 | ▲▲▲△░░████ | ▲▲▲△△░████ | △░█░░██░░█ | △░█░░██░░█ | ▲██░░███△░ | ▲░█░░██░△△ |
| 500 | ▲▲▲△░█████ | ▲▲▲△░█████ | █△△░████░░ | █░░△░███░█ | ▲███░██░░△ | ▲█░░░██░░△ | ||
| 850 | ░▲▲△░█████ | ░▲▲△░█████ | █░█████░░░ | █░█████░░░ | █░████░░▲▲ | █░░██░△░△△ | ||
| 1000 | ▲▲▲△███░██ | ▲▲▲△░████░ | ▲▲░████░░░ | ▲▲░████░░░ | ▲△░███░░▲▲ | △△░██░△░△△ | ||
| Temperature | 200 | ▲▲▲▲▲△░░△▲ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲△△△▲ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△▲ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△▲ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | |
| 500 | ▲▲▲▲░████░ | ▲▲▲▲△░░██░ | ▲▲△░░░██░█ | ▲▲▲▲△░░█░█ | ▲▲△△░░░░▲△ | ▲▲▲▲△░░△▲△ | ||
| 850 | ▲△△░█████░ | ▲△△░░████░ | ▲▲△░█░░█░░ | ▲▲▲△█░░█░░ | ▲▲▲△██░░△△ | ▲▲▲▲█░░░△△ | ||
| Wind speed | 200 | ▲▲▲△△░███░ | ▲▲▲▲△░████ | △██░███░░░ | ▲░█░███░░█ | ▲█░███░█░░ | ▲░█░██░░░░ | |
| 500 | ▲▲▲▲△█████ | ▲▲▲▲△░████ | ▲▲△△░░█░▽░ | ▲▲△△░░█░▽░ | ▲▲△░███△△△ | ▲▲△░██░△△△ | ||
| 850 | ▲▲▲▲△█████ | ▲▲▲▲△░████ | ▲░█░████░░ | ▲▲█░████░░ | ▲△██░░██░░ | ▲▲██░░██░█ | ||
| Observations | Geopotential | 500 | ▼░░░░█████ | ▼▽░░████░█ | ▼▼██░██░░△ | |||
| Temperature | 850 | ▼▽████████ | ███░██░█░░ | ▼▼██████░△ | ||||
| Wind speed | 850 | ░▲▲△████▽░ | ██░░█░██░█ | ▼░░███░█░░ | ||||
| 2m temperature | ▲▲▲▲△░████ | ▼▼▼▼▼▽░░▼▼ | ▼▼▼▼▼▽████ | |||||
| 10m wind | ░░▲▲△█████ | ▼▼▼▽▼▽░░▽░ | ░█△△░█△▲▲▲ | |||||
| 24h precipitation | ░░░△░█████ | █░██░██░██ | ▲△░△░███░░ | |||||
| East Asia | Astralia New Zealand | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EM RMS error | CRPS | EM RMS error | CRPS | |||
| Analysis | Geopotential | 200 | ▲██░░███△░ | ▲░█░░██░△△ | ▲░████████ | ▲▽████████ |
| 500 | ▲███░██░░△ | ▲█░░░██░░△ | ████████░█ | ████████░█ | ||
| 850 | █░████░░▲▲ | █░░██░△░△△ | ░█░█████░█ | ░█░█████░░ | ||
| 1000 | ▲△░███░░▲▲ | △△░██░△░△△ | ░█░░░█████ | ░█▽░██████ | ||
| Temperature | 200 | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▲▲▲▲△░░░░░ | △△▲▲▲△△░░░ | |
| 500 | ▲▲△△░░░░▲△ | ▲▲▲▲△░░△▲△ | ▲▲▲▲░██░░█ | ▲▲▲▲△█░░░█ | ||
| 850 | ▲▲▲△██░░△△ | ▲▲▲▲█░░░△△ | △░████████ | ▲△█░██████ | ||
| Wind speed | 200 | ▲█░███░█░░ | ▲░█░██░░░░ | ░▼░██░██░█ | ░▽█░█░████ | |
| 500 | ▲▲△░███△△△ | ▲▲△░██░△△△ | ▲▲△░████░█ | ▲▲▲░████░░ | ||
| 850 | ▲△██░░██░░ | ▲▲██░░██░█ | ▲███░█████ | ▲░██▽█████ | ||
| Observations | Geopotential | 500 | ▼▼██░██░░△ | ▼▼▼▼▽▽░███ | ||
| Temperature | 850 | ▼▼██████░△ | ░█░░░███░█ | |||
| Wind speed | 850 | ▼░░███░█░░ | █░░▽░██░██ | |||
| 2m temperature | ▼▼▼▼▼▽████ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△△░ | ||||
| 10m wind | ░█△△░█△▲▲▲ | █░░░░█████ | ||||
| 24h precipitation | ▲△░△░███░░ | ░░██░░█▽░█ | ||||
| Arctic | Antarctic | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EM RMS error | CRPS | EM RMS error | CRPS | |||
| Analysis | Geopotential | 200 | △▲▲░███░██ | ▲▲▲░█░█░█░ | ▲░██░█████ | ▲△████████ |
| 500 | ▲△△░██░░██ | ▲△▲░██████ | ▲△██░█████ | ▲△████████ | ||
| 850 | ▲▲▲███░███ | ▲▲▲███████ | ▲△██░█████ | ▲△██░█████ | ||
| 1000 | ▲▲△███░███ | ▲▲▲███████ | ▲░██░█████ | ▲░████░███ | ||
| Temperature | 200 | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | |
| 500 | ▲▲▲░███░██ | ▲▲▲△█░█░██ | ▲▲████░▽░█ | ▲▲░███░▽░█ | ||
| 850 | ▲△░███████ | ▲▲░░██████ | ███░░░░░██ | ▲░████████ | ||
| Wind speed | 200 | ▲▲▲▲░░████ | ▲▲▲▲△△████ | ▲▲▲△△░░░░░ | ▲▲▲△░░░░░░ | |
| 500 | ▲▲▲△█████░ | ▲▲▲△█░███░ | ▲▲▲░△░░█░░ | ▲▲▲△△░░█░░ | ||
| 850 | ▲▲▲△░█░░██ | ▲▲▲░░██░██ | ▲▲░██░██░░ | ▲▲△██░█░░█ | ||
| Observations | Wind speed | 850 | ███████▽░█ | ▲█████░░░░ | ||
| 2m temperature | ▽▽▽░██░███ | ▼▼████░░█△ | ||||
| 10m wind | ▼▼░█░█████ | ███████░░█ | ||||
| 24h precipitation | ██▲△▲██░█░ | ░███░▽██░░ | ||||
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The score card provides a quick visual overview over the performance of the cycle 43r3 scores compared to cycle 43r1. It is a simplified summary of verify error plots for various domains, scores, parameters etc.
Each error plot is converted into a sequence of symbols (e.g. ) where each symbol indicates whether for a the given time step whether or not , score, parameter, level and domain the cycle 43r3 is significantly better or worse than the cycle 43r1 on the given level of statistical significance.
Symbol legend: for a given forecast step... (d: score difference, s: confidence interval width)
▲ cycle 43r3 better than cycle 43r1 statistically highly significant ( with 99.7% confidence)
cycle △ 43r3 better than cycle 43r1 statistically significant ( with 95% confidence)
░ cycle 43r3 better than cycle 43r1 , yet not statistically significant ( with 68% confidence)
█ not really any difference between cycle 43r1 and cycle 43r3
░ cycle 43r3 worse than cycle 43r1 , yet not statistically significant ( with 68% confidence)
▾ cycle 43r3 worse than cycle 43r1 statistically significant ( with 95% confidence)
▼ cycle 43r3 worse than cycle 43r1 statistically highly significant ( with 99.7% confidence)