Status:Ongoing analysis Material Status: Finalised Material from: Linus
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Discussed in the following Daily reports: |
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2. Description of the event
The plots below show MSLP and 6-hour precipitation with plots every 12th hour starting from 6 January 06z and ending 7 January 18z.
3. Predictability
3.1 Data assimilation
3.2 HRES
Observations of 24-hour maximum wind gusts on 7 January (left) and forecast for the maximum wind gusts (shade) and MSLP valid 12z (right).
The plot below shows time-series of 10-metre mean wind for Heimoya (65.2N/11E) from HRES (red) and observations (black).
3.3 ENS
The plots below show EFI and SOT for 24-hour maximum wind gusts on 7 January from different initial times.
3.4 Monthly forecasts
3.5 Comparison with other centres
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4. Experience from general performance/other cases
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5. Good and bad aspects of the forecasts for the event
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