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  • Each time series (𝑇𝑚𝑜𝑑(𝑖), 𝑃𝑚𝑜𝑑(𝑖)) (for model (mod) and observation (obs) equivalently) are separated into two new time series
    1. a time series of daily time steps subjected to a 30-day running mean, indicated with an overbar

      • Mathinline
        \overline{T_{mod}(i)} = \sum_{k=1i}^{i+29}T_{mod}(k)/30



      • Mathinline
        \overline{P_{mod}(i)} = \sum_{k=1i}^{i+29}P_{mod}(k)/30


    2. a daily time series of the anomalies of the original data to the 30-day running The anomalies are multiplicative for precipitation and additive for temperature.

      • Mathinline
        T_{mod}(i)' = T_{mod}(i) - \overline{T_{obs}(i)}



      • Mathinline
        P_{mod}(i)' = P_{mod}(i) / \overline{P_{obs}(i)}


  • For each day-of-year, 𝑗, (i.e. not on calendar months as in most bias adjustment procedures, to avoid introducing “steps” at calendar month changes in the time series), empirical distribution functions for temperature, 𝐹𝑇, and precipitation, 𝐹𝑃, are calculated for each of the four-time series based on the 30 days surrounding the selected day-of-year and for the full time period:

      • Mathinline
        FT_{obs,j}(\overline{T_{obs}(j-15,...,j+15)})



      • Mathinline
        FT'_{obs,j}(\overline{T'_{obs}(j-15,...,j+15)})



      • Mathinline
        FT_{mod,j}(\overline{T_{mod}(j-15,...,j+15)})



      • Mathinline
        FT'_{mod,j}(\overline{T'_{mod}(j-15,...,j+15)})



      • Mathinline
        FP_{obs,j}(\overline{P_{obs}(j-15,...,j+15)})



      • Mathinline
        FP'_{obs,j}(\overline{P'_{obs}(j-15,...,j+15)})



      • Mathinline
        FP_{mod,j}(\overline{P_{mod}(j-15,...,j+15)})



      • Mathinline
        FP'_{mod,j}(\overline{P'_{mod}(j-15,...,j+15)})


  • Each of the two model time series are then bias adjusted based on a transfer function for temperature,𝑇𝑇𝑗, and for precipitation, 𝑇𝑃𝑗, which transfers the model to the reference distribution. The bias adjusted time series have the sub-script “adj” for adjusted.

      • Mathinline
        \overline{T_{adj}(i)} = TT_{j} \left(\overline{T_{mod}(i)} \right) = F_{obs,j}^{-1}(F_{mod,j}(\overline{T_{mod}}))



      • Mathinline
        \overline{T'_{adj}(i)} = TT_{j} \left(\overline{T'_{mod}(i)} \right) = F'_{obs,j}^{-1}(F'_{mod,j}(\overline{T'_{mod}}))



      • Mathinline
        \overline{P_{adj}(i)} = TP_{j} \left(\overline{P_{mod}(i)} \right) = F_{obs,j}^{-1}(F_{mod,j}(\overline{P_{mod}}))



      • Mathinline
        \overline{P'_{adj}(i)} = TP_{j} \left(\overline{P'_{mod}(i)} \right) = F'_{obs,j}^{-1}(F'_{mod,j}(\overline{P'_{mod}}))


  • The final adjusted model time series is constructed by (additively or multiplicatively) merging the 30-day mean and anomaly time series.

      • Mathinline
        T_{adj}(i) = \overline{T_{adj}(i)} + T'_{adj}(i)



      • Mathinline
        P_{adj}(i) = \overline{P_{adj}(i)} \ast P'_{adj}(i)


...

Ntegeka, V., P. Salamon, G. Gomes, H. Sint, V. Lorini, M. Zambrano-Bigiarini, and J. Thielen (2013) EFAS-Meteo: A European daily high-resolution gridded meteorological data set for 1990 – 2011, JRC Tech. Report, doi: 10.2788/51262.


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This document has been produced in the context of the Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S).

The activities leading to these results have been contracted by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, operator of C3S on behalf of the European Union (Delegation agreement Agreement signed on 11/11/2014 and Contribution Agreement signed on 22/07/2021). All information in this document is provided "as is" and no guarantee or warranty is given that the information is fit for any particular purpose.

The users thereof use the information at their sole risk and liability. For the avoidance of all doubt , the European Commission and the European Centre for Medium - Range Weather Forecasts have no liability in respect of this document, which is merely representing the author's view.

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