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Finalised Material from: Linus, Fernando, Ervin

 

Discussed in the following Daily reports:

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The plot below shows the evolution of ensemble forecasts of 850 hPa temperature for Hong Kong valid 23-24 January.





3.4 Monthly forecasts




The plot below shows the EFI for 2t from Thursday's week 1 forecast on the left and the CDFs of 2t anomalies over the pink box

for all forecasts valid for the week starting on 18 January. Just the latest 2 forecasts have the cold anomaly in place. The analysis

of 2t anomalies is also provided.

Image Added

3.5 Comparison with other centres

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5. Good and bad aspects of the forecasts for the event

  1. Extreme forecasts at least 1 week in advance
  2. Jumpy forecasts for 2-metre temperature (reported fromXiaohua Yang, DMI)

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  1. see 
  • View fileviewpdf
    name20160126.20160126_SEChina_1.pdfheight250


6. Additional material