...
Comparison of scores of IFS cycle 41r2 (combination of research experiments and the current e-suite) and IFS cycle 41r1 (the current operational cycle) verified by the respective analyses or radiosonde and SYNOP observations at 00UTC for the period 00 UTC on 1 January 2015 to 12 UTC on 7 February 2016 (637 forecast runs).
ACC | RMSe/STDe | SEEPS | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Europe | against analysis | Geopotential | 100hPa | |||
500hPa | ||||||
MSL pressure | ||||||
Temperature | 100hPa | |||||
200hPa | ||||||
850hPa | ||||||
Wind | 100hPa | |||||
200hPa | ||||||
850hPa | ||||||
Relative humidity | 300hPa | |||||
700hPa | ||||||
against observations | Temperature | 100hPa | ||||
200hPa | ||||||
850hPa | ||||||
2m temperature | ||||||
Wind | 100hPa | |||||
200hPa | ||||||
850hPa | ||||||
10m wind | ||||||
2m dew-point | ||||||
Total cloud cover | ||||||
24h precipitation | ||||||
Extratropical Northern Hemisphere | against analysis | Geopotential | 100hPa | |||
500hPa | ||||||
MSL pressure | ||||||
Temperature | 100hPa | |||||
200hPa | ||||||
850hPa | ||||||
Wind | 100hPa | |||||
200hPa | ||||||
850hPa | ||||||
10m wind over ocean | ||||||
Ocean wave height | ||||||
Ocean wave period | ||||||
Relative humidity | 300hPa | |||||
700hPa | ||||||
against observations | Temperature | 100hPa | ||||
200hPa | ||||||
850hPa | ||||||
2m temperature | ||||||
Wind | 100hPa | |||||
200hPa | ||||||
850hPa | ||||||
10m wind | ||||||
2m dew-point | ||||||
Total cloud cover | ||||||
24h precipitation | ||||||
Extratropical Southern Hemisphere | against analysis | Geopotential | 100hPa | |||
500hPa | ||||||
MSL pressure | ||||||
Temperature | 100hPa | |||||
200hPa | ||||||
850hPa | ||||||
Wind | 100hPa | |||||
200hPa | ||||||
850hPa | ||||||
10m wind over ocean | ||||||
Ocean wave height | ||||||
Ocean wave period | ||||||
Relative humidity | 300hPa | |||||
700hPa | ||||||
against observations | Temperature | 100hPa | ||||
200hPa | ||||||
850hPa | ||||||
2m temperature | ||||||
Wind | 100hPa | |||||
200hPa | ||||||
850hPa | ||||||
10m wind | ||||||
2m dew-point | ||||||
Total cloud cover | ||||||
24h precipitation | ||||||
Tropics | against analysis | Temperature | 100hPa | |||
200hPa | ||||||
850hPa | ||||||
Wind | 100hPa | |||||
200hPa | ||||||
850hPa | ||||||
10m wind over ocean | ||||||
Ocean wave height | ||||||
Ocean wave period | ||||||
Relative humidity | 300hPa | |||||
700hPa | ||||||
against observations | Temperature | 100hPa | ||||
200hPa | ||||||
850hPa | ||||||
2m temperature | ||||||
Wind | 100hPa | |||||
200hPa | ||||||
850hPa | ||||||
10m wind | ||||||
2m dew-point | ||||||
Total cloud cover | ||||||
24h precipitation |
...
Comparison for additional domains can be found in the extended HRES scorecards
- Extended scorecard for northern and southern hemispheres, tropics and Europe
- Extended scorecard for north Atlantic, north America and north Pacific
- Extended scorecard for east Asia, Australia and New Zealand, the Arctic and Antarctic
Ensemble
Comparison of scores of IFS cycle 41r2 (current e-suite) and IFS cycle 41r1 (the current operational cycle) verified by the respective analyses or SYNOP observations at 00UTC for the period 00 UTC on 10 August 2015 to 12 UTC on 7 February 2016 (247 forecast runs).
Continuous Rank Probability Score | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Europe | against analysis | Wind speed | 850hPa | |
Temperature | ||||
Geopotential | 500hPa | |||
1000hPa | ||||
against observations | 10m wind | |||
2m temperature | ||||
24h precipitation | ||||
Extratropical Northern Hemisphere | against analysis | Wind speed | 850hPa | |
Temperature | ||||
Geopotential | 500hPa | |||
1000hPa | ||||
against observations | 10m wind | |||
2m temperature | ||||
24h precipitation | ||||
Extratropical Southern Hemisphere | against analysis | Wind speed | 850hPa | |
Temperature | ||||
Geopotential | 500hPa | |||
1000hPa | ||||
against observations | 10m wind | |||
2m temperature | ||||
24h precipitation | ||||
Tropics | against analysis | Wind speed | 850hPa | |
Temperature | ||||
against observations | 10m wind | |||
2m temperature | ||||
24h precipitation |
...