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Finalised Material from: Linus

 

Discussed in the following Daily reports:

http://intra.ecmwf.int/daily/d/dreport/2014/12/23/sc/


Picture

1. Impact

During the second half of December Malaysia and Thailand were hit by heavy rainfall. The following flooding is said to be the worst for decades.

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The plots below shows weekly anomalies of rainfall for 15-21 December (left) and 22-28 December (right). The worst affected region is located in the upper-right corner of the plotted domain. The both weeks, a wet anomaly is present 2 weeks before.


The plots below shows MJO forecast from 4, 11 and 18 December. The rainfall seems to be connected to the onset of the MJO.

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3.5 Comparison with other centres

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