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The displayed accumulations correspond to the forecasts obtained with the control member, and are of the 80th percentile of rainfall.

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Figure 1. 80th percentile of the hourly blended precipitation ensemble forecast at 15:00 UTC on 2022-09-05


References

Berenguer, M., Sempere-Torres, D. and Pegram, G, 2011: SBMcast - An ensemble nowcasting technique to assess the uncertainty in rainfall forecasts by Langrangian extrapolation. Journal of Hydrology, 404(3), 226-240

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Wong, W., Yeung, L., Wang, Y. and Chen, M, 2009: Towards the Blending of NWP with Nowcast - Operation Experience in B08FDP. WMO Symoisum Symposium on Nowcasting, 30 Aug- 4 Sep, Whistler, Canada.

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