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Section 1 Introduction
Section 2 The ECMWF Integrated Forecasting System - IFS
Section 3 Availability and Interpolation of NWP output
Section 4 NWP Evolution versus Reality
Section 5 Forecast Ensemble (ENS) - Rationale and Construction
Section 6 Using Deterministic and Probabilistic Forecasts
Section 7 ENS Products - Dealing with Uncertainty
Section 8 ENS products - What they are and how to use them
Section 9 Physical considerations when interpreting model output
Section 9.1 Model Boundary and Surface Layers
Section 9.2 Screen Level Temperatures and Moisture
Section 9.2.1 Causes of errors in forecast temperature and humidity
Section 9.2.1.1 Causes of errors in 2m temperature
Section 9.2.1.2 Errors in 2m dew point
Section 9.2.1.3. Other causes of errors
Section 9.2.2 Regional temperature biases
Section 9.3 Surface wind
Section 9.4 Visibility
Section 9.5 Large Scale Precipitation
Section 9.6 Convective Precipitation
Section 9.7 Types of precipitation - interpretation and effects
Section 9.8 Sunshine
Section 9.9 Summary of some Important Issues
Section 10 Interfaces for displaying Model Output
Section 11 Conclusion
Section 12 Annexes
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Forecast User Guide
Section 9 Physical considerations when interpreting model output
Section 9.2 Screen Level Temperatures and Moisture
Section 9.2.1 Causes of errors in forecast temperature and humidity
Section 9.2.1.1 Causes of errors in 2m temperature
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Section 9.2.1.1 Causes of errors in 2m temperature
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Bob Owens
Mar 26, 2025
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Bob Owens
Apr 03, 2025
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Apr 03, 2025 09:18
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Mar 26, 2025 20:00
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Mar 26, 2025 19:51
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Section 9.2.1.1 Causes of errors in 2m temperature
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