Status:Ongoing analysis Material from:
Picture
1. Impact
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-45807978
2. Description of the event
The plots below show analyses of MSLP and short forecasts of 6-hour total precipitation covering 7 October 00UTC to 10 October 00UTC, every 12th hour.
The plots below show analyses of z500 (contour) and T850 (shade) covering 7 October 00UTC to 10 October 00UTC, every 12th hour.
3. Predictability
3.1 Data assimilation
3.2 HRES
The first plots below shows (not yet) observations of 24-hour precipitation 9 October 06z to 10 October 06z and the following plots HRES forecasts from different initial times valid the same time. The plots also includes MSLP valid at 18UTC on 9 October.
3.3 ENS
The plots below show EFI and SOT for 24-hour precipitation (9 October).
3.4 Monthly forecasts
3.5 Comparison with other centres
4. Experience from general performance/other cases