Status:Ongoing analysis Material from: Linus
1. Impact
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-38038992
2. Description of the event
The plots below show analyses of extra-tropical cyclone features.
The plots below show a sequence of satellite images from yr.no starting from 19 November 18z to 21 November 00z.
The plot below shows the observed 24-hour precipitation for 19 November 06z to 20 November 06z.
3. Predictability
3.1 Data assimilation
3.2 HRES
24-hour maximum winds gusts (20 November) and MSLP valid 20 November 12z from o-suite:
24-hour maximum winds gusts (20 November) and MSLP valid 20 November 12z from e-suite:
24-hour precipitation (19 Nov 06z - 20 Nov 06z) from o-suite:
24-hour precipitation (19 Nov 06z - 20 Nov 06z) from e-suite:
3.3 ENS
EFI and SOT for wind gusts for 20 November from o-suite.
EFI and SOT for wind gusts for 20 November from e-suite.
EFI and SOT for 3-day precipitation (19-21 November) from o-suite:
EFI and SOT for 3-day precipitation (19-21 November) from e-suite:
Cyclone feature plots valid 20 November 00z:
3.4 Monthly forecasts
3.5 Comparison with other centres
4. Experience from general performance/other cases