Comparison of scores of IFS Cycle 46r1 (combination of research experiments and the current test suite) and IFS Cycle 45r1 (the current operational cycle) verified by the respective analyses or in-situ observations (TEMP, SYNOP, BUOY) at 00 and 12UTC in the period 1 June 2017 to 14 May 2019 (in total 645 high-resolution and 312 ensemble forecast runs).
Each symbol in a cell represents 1 forecast day, i.e 10 days for HRES and 15 days for ENS.
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| Extratropical Northern Hemisphere | Extratropical Southern Hemisphere | Tropics | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anomaly correlation/ SEEPS(*) | RMS error/ Std. dev.of error(*) | Anomaly correlation/ SEEPS(*) | RMS error/ Std. dev.of error(*) | Anomaly correlation/ SEEPS(*) | RMS error/ Std. dev.of error(*) | |||
| Analysis | Geopotential | 100 | △▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | △▲▲▲▲░░△░△ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ||
| 250 | △▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | △▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▲▲▲▲△△△△△△ | ▲▲▲▲△△△△▲△ | ||||
| 500 | △▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | △▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▲▲▲△△△△△△░ | ▲▲▲▲△△▲△△░ | ||||
| 850 | △▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△△ | ░▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▲▲▲△△△△△░█ | ▲▲▲▲▲△△△░█ | ||||
| Mean sea level pressure | █▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△△ | █▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▲▲▲△△△△△░█ | ▲▲▲▲▲△△△░█ | ||||
| Temperature | 100 | ▲▲▲▲▲▲△▲▲▲ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▲▲▲▲▲△△░░△ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▲░█░▽▼▼▼▼▽ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | |
| 250 | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△░░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲░░█ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▲▲▲▲△△△░░░ | ▲▲△███░█░░ | ▲░█░▼▼▼▼▼▼ | ||
| 500 | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▲▲▲▲▲△△░△△ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲△△▲▲ | █▽████░██░ | ░▼▼▼▼▼▼▽░▽ | ||
| 850 | ▼░▲▲▲▲▲▲△▲ | ▼█▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▼▼░△▲▲△△▲▲ | ▼▼░▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▽██ | ▼▼▼▼▼▼▼░██ | ||
| 1000 | ▼█▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▼▼▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ░▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▽△▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△ | ▽░░△△▲▲△△░ | ||
| 2m temperature | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | █▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▼░▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ||
| Wind | 100 | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▲▲▲▲▲△△△░△ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▲▲▲███████ | ▲▲△███████ | |
| 250 | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△▲▲ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▲▲▲▲△△△△△△ | ▲▲▲▲△△△△▲△ | △△░███████ | △░░███████ | ||
| 500 | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ░█░░░██░░△ | ███░███△△△ | ||
| 850 | ░▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△△ | △▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▲▲▲▲▲△▲▲△░ | ▲▲▲▲▲△△△△░ | ▼▼▽██░███░ | ▼▼░████░░░ | ||
| 1000 | △▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△△ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ███░░███░░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ||
| 10m wind | █▲▲▲▲▲░░█░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▲▲▲▲△△░░░█ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ░▽▽░░░░█░█ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ||
| Relative humidity | 250 | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△░▲ | ▽▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▼ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△△ | ▽▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▼ | ░▼░░░▽▽▽▽█ | ▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▼ | |
| 700 | █▲▲▲▲▲▲△△△ | ░▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△△△ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▼▼▼▼▽▽░░██ | ▽▽▽███░░░△ | ||
| 10m wind at sea | ░▲▲▲▲▲░░█░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▲▲▲△░░░░░█ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△ | ░███████░░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ||
| Significant wave height | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ (*) | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲░░▽▼ (*) | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△△△ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲░██░ (*) | ||
| Mean wave period | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ (*) | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△ (*) | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | △█████░▼▼▼ (*) | ||
| Observations | Geopotential | 100 | ▼▼▼░△▲▲▲▲░ | ▼█▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▼▼▼▽█░░░█░ | ▼▼▼░▲▲▲▲△▲ | ||
| 250 | █▲▲▲▲▲△△▲△ | █△▲▲▲▲△△▲▲ | █░△△██░░██ | ▽█▲▲░░△△░█ | ||||
| 500 | ▲▲▲▲▲▲△△△△ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲△△▲△ | █░▲△░░▲░██ | ▲▲▲▲░△▲░░█ | ||||
| 850 | △▲▲▲▲△△△░░ | █▲▲▲▲▲△△△△ | ▼█△░△░△△██ | ▼█░░△░△△██ | ||||
| Temperature | 100 | ▲△△▲▲△▲△△△ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▲▲██░█△███ | △△△▲△░▲△██ | ▲░░███▼░░░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲░△▲▲ | |
| 250 | ▲▲▲▲▲△░░△░ | ▲▲▲▲▲△░░△░ | ░▲▲△░█░△▲█ | △▲▲△░░░░△█ | ▲▲△△░█░██▼ | ░░██░▽▼▼▽▼ | ||
| 500 | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△▲▲ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△▲▲ | ░▲△░█░░█░█ | ░▲▲░█△░█░█ | ▲██░░█░███ | ▲█▽▽▽▼▽▼░░ | ||
| 850 | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△△△ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△△▲ | █░△░░░█░░█ | ░█△░░░█△░█ | ██░███████ | ██░█████░█ | ||
| 2m temperature | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | █░█████░░█ | █░░░███░△█ | |||||
| Wind | 100 | ▲▲▲▲▲△▲▲▲△ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△ | △▲△▲▲░█░█░ | △▲△▲▲△░△░△ | ▲▲▲▲△█░███ | ▲▲△△░████░ | |
| 250 | ▲▲▲▲▲△△░△△ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲△░△▲ | ▲▲▲▲△░█░██ | ▲▲▲▲▲░░░░█ | ▲▲▲▲░░████ | ▲▲▲▲△△░░░░ | ||
| 500 | ▲▲▲▲▲▲△░░△ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△△▲ | ▲▲▲▲△▲░░██ | ▲▲▲▲▲△░░██ | ▲░░▲△█△░██ | ▲░△▲△░△△░█ | ||
| 850 | ▲▲▲▲▲▲△░░░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲△△△△ | △▲▲△░░░░██ | △▲▲△░░△△██ | △█░░░█████ | △█░░△█░▲░░ | ||
| 10m wind | ▲▲▲▲▲▲△▲░△ | ▲▲▲▲▲△░░░█ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | |||||
| Relative humidity | 250 | ▲▲▲░█████░ | ▲△░██░░█░█ | △△░△██████ | ████░█████ | █▲█░███░▽█ | ▽█▽▼▼▼▼▼▼▽ | |
| 700 | ▲▲▲△△▲△█░△ | △▲▲△▲▲▲█░△ | ░█░█░░█△█░ | ░░△█░░░△░░ | △░███░△██░ | △██░█░░█░█ | ||
| 2m dew-point | ▼▽█▲▲▲△△△△ | ██░△░██░△░ | ▼▼▼▼▼▼▽░█▽ | |||||
| Total cloud cover | ▲▲▲▲▲△░░██ | ███░██△△░█ | █████░█▽░█ | |||||
| 24h precipitation | ▲▲▲▲▲△△△△░ (*) | ███░░░▽░░█ | △░△█△△░░██ (*) | ██░▽█░███░ | ▲░░△△█████ (*) | ░░░░░███△█ | ||
| Europe | Northern America | East Asia | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anomaly correlation/ SEEPS(*) | RMS error/ Std. dev.of error(*) | Anomaly correlation/ SEEPS(*) | RMS error/ Std. dev.of error(*) | Anomaly correlation/ SEEPS(*) | RMS error/ Std. dev.of error(*) | |||
| Analysis | Geopotential | 100 | ▼░░░░░░△░░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△ | ░░█△░△░███ | █▲▲▲▲▲▲△△░ | ░▲▲△▲▲△△△█ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△△█ |
| 250 | █△△░███░░░ | ░▲▲░███░░░ | █▲△▲△△△░░█ | █░△▲▲▲▲░░░ | █▲△▲▲▲△░██ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△░░ | ||
| 500 | △▲△░███░░░ | △▲△░░██░░░ | █▲▲▲▲△△░░░ | ░▲▲▲▲▲▲△△░ | █△▲▲▲▲△███ | █▲▲▲▲▲▲△░░ | ||
| 850 | △▲▲▲░██░██ | █▲△▲△██△█░ | █▲▲▲▲▲△△△░ | ▽▲▲▲▲▲░△▲△ | █△▲▲▲▲△██░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△░█ | ||
| Mean sea level pressure | ░▲▲▲░██░██ | ░△△▲△██△█░ | █△▲▲▲△△░░░ | ▽△▲▲▲△△△△△ | ░△▲▲▲▲△███ | █▲▲▲▲▲▲△░█ | ||
| Temperature | 100 | ▼█△△░██░░░ | ▽▲▲▲△░██░░ | ███△△△△△░█ | ░△△▲▲▲▲▲△░ | ░░█░△░█░░█ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△░█ | |
| 250 | ▲▲▲░░█████ | ▲▲▲░░█████ | ▲▲▲▲▲░░██░ | ▲▲▲▲▲░░██░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲░░██ | ░▲▲▲▲▲░███ | ||
| 500 | ▲▲▲△░██░░△ | ▲▲▲△△███░░ | ▲▲▲▲△▲▲█░░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲░░░ | ░▲▲▲▲▲▲△△░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△░ | ||
| 850 | ░△▲△░████░ | █▲▲△░██░░△ | █░▲▲▲△△△△░ | ░█▲▲▲▲▲△░░ | ▼█△▲▲▲△░█░ | ▼░░▲▲▲▲△█░ | ||
| 1000 | ▼█░△███░██ | ▼░▲▲░░░△△△ | ░░△▲▲△△△△░ | ▼░▲▲▲△▲△△░ | ▼░█△△▲△░█△ | ▼░█▲▲▲▲△░░ | ||
| 2m temperature | ▲▲△△░██░██ | ▲▲▲▲△░░△△△ | ▲△▲▲▲░△░░█ | ▲▲▲▲▲△△░░░ | △△▲▲▲▲▲░░△ | ░░▲▲▲▲▲△░░ | ||
| Wind | 100 | ░░▲█░██░░█ | ▽█△░░░░△△△ | ███░░△△▲░█ | ███▲△▲▲▲△░ | ░░░█▲░░░░█ | ░░░█▲▲△░██ | |
| 250 | ▲▲▲░██████ | ▲▲▲△░████△ | △▲▲▲△△△░░█ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲░△░ | △△▲△▲▲░░██ | △△▲▲▲▲△░██ | ||
| 500 | ▲▲▲△░█████ | ▲▲▲▲░████△ | ░▲▲▲▲▲△△░█ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲░△░ | ░▲▲▲▲▲△███ | △▲▲▲▲▲▲░██ | ||
| 850 | ▲▲▲△░███░█ | ▲▲▲▲░██△█░ | █░▲▲▲△△░▲△ | △▲▲▲▲▲△△△░ | █△▲▲▲▲△███ | ░▲▲▲▲▲▲△░█ | ||
| 1000 | △▲▲△████░█ | ▲▲▲▲░░█△█░ | █△▲▲▲△△░△▲ | ░▲▲▲▲▲△△△△ | ░▲▲▲▲▲▲███ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△░█ | ||
| 10m wind | █△░░████░█ | █▲▲△░█△░█△ | ▽█▲▲△▲░△△░ | ░█▲▲▲▲△▲△△ | █△△△▲△△███ | ░▲▲▲▲▲▲░░△ | ||
| Relative humidity | 250 | ▲▲▲△░████░ | █░█▼▽▼▼▼▼░ | △△△▲△░░░█░ | █░████░░░█ | △█░█░░░░██ | ░▼░░░███▽░ | |
| 700 | ░▲▲░██████ | █▲△░█████░ | △▲▲▲▲△█░░△ | ▲▲▲▲▲△░░░▲ | ▼█△▲△△△░██ | ▼█▲▲△▲▲░░░ | ||
| Observations | Geopotential | 100 | ▽▼░░██△░██ | ▽░▲▲▲▲▲▲△░ | ░██△░░░█░█ | ▽▲▲▲△▲▲△△░ | ████▲△░░░█ | ░△▲▲▲▲▲△░█ |
| 250 | █△△░████░░ | █△△█████░░ | ▲▲▲▲△△△░░█ | █░△▲△▲▲░△░ | █░△░▲△░███ | △░░△▲▲▲△██ | ||
| 500 | █▲△░█████░ | ░▲△░█████░ | █▲▲▲▲△△░△░ | █▲▲▲▲▲▲△△░ | █░▲▲▲▲████ | █▲▲▲▲▲△△░█ | ||
| 850 | ░▲△△██████ | ▼█░△░██░██ | █▲▲▲▲▲△░░░ | ░△▲▲▲▲░△▲░ | ░░▲▲△▲░██░ | █△△▲▲▲△△░█ | ||
| Temperature | 100 | △░██████░░ | ░░░△△███░░ | ░██△△△△░░█ | ░░△▲▲▲▲△░░ | △▲△░△█░░██ | █▲▲▲▲▲▲▲░░ | |
| 250 | ▲▲░░░███░░ | ▲▲△░△███△░ | ▲▲▲△△░░██░ | ▲▲△△△△░█░░ | ▲▲△△△▲████ | ▲▲▲△▲△████ | ||
| 500 | ▲▲░△░███░△ | ▲▲△△░███░△ | ▲▲▲▲░▲△█░░ | ▲▲▲▲△▲▲█░░ | △▲▲▲▲▲△░░█ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△░█ | ||
| 850 | △▲▲█░█░███ | ▲▲▲░░████△ | ▲△▲▲△△△░░░ | ▲△▲▲△▲▲△░░ | █△△▲△▲░██░ | △▲▲▲▲▲▲△██ | ||
| 2m temperature | ▲▲△△░██△△△ | ▲▲▲▲▲△△░░░ | ▲▲▲▲△▲▲△░░ | |||||
| Wind | 100 | ▲▲▲░░█░░░░ | ▲△▲▲░░░△△△ | ░▲△△△△△△██ | ░▲▲▲△▲▲△△█ | ░▲△░△█░░░█ | △▲△░△░░░██ | |
| 250 | ▲▲▲░███░██ | ▲▲▲△░███░░ | △▲▲△△△░░░█ | ▲▲▲▲△▲▲░░░ | ▲▲▲░░△△█░█ | ▲▲▲△△▲△░██ | ||
| 500 | ▲▲△░██████ | ▲▲△░░████△ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲░△░█ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲△░░░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲░█░█ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲△░██ | ||
| 850 | ▲▲▲░████░█ | ▲▲▲△░██░█░ | █░△▲△▲░░△▲ | ░△▲▲△△△░△░ | ▲△▲△△▲░░██ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲△░░█ | ||
| 10m wind | ▲▲△△△░█░█░ | ▲▲▲▲▲△░△△░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲△△░░ | |||||
| Relative humidity | 250 | ▲▲▲△░█████ | ▲▲▲░█░███░ | △░█△█░██░△ | ░░██░░███░ | ░█░░▽█░█░█ | ██░████░▽█ | |
| 700 | △△░████░██ | △△░███████ | △△△△▲███░△ | ░▲△░△█░█░△ | ▲△▲░░△△░█░ | ░░▲░△△▲░█░ | ||
| 2m dew-point | ▲▲▲▲△██△△△ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△△△ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△░█ | |||||
| Total cloud cover | ░░███▽░█░█ | ▲▲△▲▲░△███ | ░█△△█△△░█░ | |||||
| 24h precipitation | ▲▲▲△░█████ (*) | ██▽█░░▽██░ | ▲▲░▲░█░░░░ (*) | ░██△░░▽███ | ▲▲░△░▲▲△△█ (*) | ░█░△░█░░░█ | ||
| Northern Atlantic | Northern Pacific | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anomaly correlation/ SEEPS(*) | RMS error/ Std. dev.of error(*) | Anomaly correlation/ SEEPS(*) | RMS error/ Std. dev.of error(*) | |||
| Analysis | Geopotential | 100 | ░█░△▲△▲△△█ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△ | ▲▲▲▲▲△░█░░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ |
| 250 | ░▲△△△△▲░△░ | △▲░△△△▲△△△ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲△△▲△ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲△△▲△ | ||
| 500 | ░▲▲△△△▲△△△ | ░▲△△△△▲▲△△ | △▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△ | ||
| 850 | △▲▲△△░░△△░ | ░△▲△△░△△△△ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲△△△░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△░ | ||
| Mean sea level pressure | △▲▲△△░░░△█ | △▲▲▲△░░△░△ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲△△░█ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲░░ | ||
| Temperature | 100 | ░░░△█░△░△█ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲░░△△ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | |
| 250 | ▲▲▲▲△△░█░█ | ▲▲▲▲△△░░△█ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲░░██ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲△△░█ | ||
| 500 | ▲▲▲▲△△▲░△░ | ▲▲▲▲△△△░△△ | ▲▲▲▲▲△▲△░░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△△░ | ||
| 850 | ▼░░△░△▲△△△ | ▼░░△△△▲▲△△ | ▼█△▲▲▲△░██ | ▼░▲▲▲▲▲△░△ | ||
| 1000 | ▼█▲▲△░△△░░ | ▼▽△▲▲△△△░░ | ▼█▲▲▲▲▲▲░█ | ▼░▲▲▲▲▲▲░░ | ||
| 2m temperature | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲░░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲░░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△△ | ||
| Wind | 100 | █░█░░△▲▲△█ | ░▲△▲▲▲▲▲▲△ | ▲▲▲▲▲△░░△△ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲△△▲△ | |
| 250 | ▲▲░△░█△░██ | ▲▲░△△░░△░△ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲△△▲█ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲░ | ||
| 500 | △▲▲▲△░△△██ | △▲▲▲△░△△░△ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△△█ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲░ | ||
| 850 | █▲▲▲△░░░░█ | █▲▲▲△░░△△△ | █▲▲▲▲▲△░░█ | █▲▲▲▲▲▲△░░ | ||
| 1000 | ░▲▲▲△░░░░█ | ▲▲▲▲▲△△△△△ | △▲▲▲▲▲△░░█ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△△ | ||
| 10m wind | ░▲△△░░████ | ▲▲▲▲▲△△△△△ | ░▲▲▲△△░░█░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△ | ||
| Relative humidity | 250 | △▲△▲▲█△△░░ | ░▼▼░█▽██░█ | ▲▲▲▲△▲△░░█ | ████████░▽ | |
| 700 | ░△▲▲▲░░░△▲ | ░▲▲▲▲△░░△▲ | ▽△▲▲▲▲△░░█ | ░△▲▲▲▲▲░△█ | ||
| 10m wind at sea | ░▲△△░░████ | ▲▲▲▲▲△△△△△ | ░▲▲▲△△░░█░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△ | ||
| Significant wave height | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△△ (*) | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲░░ (*) | ||
| Mean wave period | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ (*) | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△ (*) | ||
| Arctic | Antarctic | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anomaly correlation/ SEEPS(*) | RMS error/ Std. dev.of error(*) | Anomaly correlation/ SEEPS(*) | RMS error/ Std. dev.of error(*) | |||
| Analysis | Geopotential | 100 | ░△▲▲▲▲△▲▲△ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ░░△△░████△ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△▲ |
| 250 | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△△ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | █▲▲░░██░░░ | ░▲▲△△██░░█ | ||
| 500 | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△△△ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▲▲▲░░░░△██ | ▲▲▲△△△░░██ | ||
| 850 | ▲▲▲▲▲△△△░░ | ▲▲▲▲▲△▲▲△△ | ▲▲▲░░△░△██ | △▲▲░△△░░██ | ||
| Mean sea level pressure | △▲▲▲▲△△△░░ | △▲▲▲▲△△▲△△ | ▲▲▲△△△△△██ | █▲▲△△△░░██ | ||
| Temperature | 100 | ▼░▲▲▲▲▲▲△△ | ▼▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▼█░█░█░██░ | ▼█▲▲▲▲▲△△░ | |
| 250 | ▲▲▲▲▲▲△░█░ | ▲▲▲▲▲△░███ | ▲▲▲░░△░░░█ | ▲▲▲▲△△△△░█ | ||
| 500 | ▲▲▲▲▲▲△△△△ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△ | ▲▲▲△△░██░░ | ▲▲▲▲▲△░△△░ | ||
| 850 | ░▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△▲ | ░▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ░▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ░▲▲▲▲△△△△░ | ||
| 1000 | ░▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▽▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▽△▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▼█△▲▲△△△△░ | ||
| 2m temperature | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△▲▲ | ░▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▼█△△△△△△△░ | ||
| Wind | 100 | ▼░▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△ | ▼▼▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | █░▲△△░░░░░ | ░△▲▲△░░△░░ | |
| 250 | ▲▲▲▲▲△░△░△ | ▲▲▲▲▲△△△△▲ | ▲▲▲△△░░░░█ | ▲▲▲△△░░░░█ | ||
| 500 | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△░△ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲△△░░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲△▲△░ | ||
| 850 | ▲▲▲▲▲▲△△░△ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲△▲▲▲ | ▲▲▲△△△△░██ | ▲▲▲△△△△░██ | ||
| 1000 | ▲▲▲▲▲▲░△░░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲△▲△▲ | ▲▲▲△△△△△██ | ▲▲▲▲▲△△░░░ | ||
| 10m wind | ▲▲▲▲▲▲░██░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲△█░▲ | ▲▲▲░░░░███ | ▲▲▲△░░██░█ | ||
| Relative humidity | 250 | ░▲▲▲▲△░░░△ | ░█░░█░▽▽▽░ | █△△░░△░░██ | ░████████▽ | |
| 700 | △▲▲▲▲▲░░░█ | △▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▲▲▲△△△░△█░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△△▲ | ||
| Observations | Geopotential | 100 | ██░△▲▲△▲△░ | ▼▽▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ░░█░███░░△ | ▼▽░▲△△△▲△△ |
| 250 | △▲▲▲▲△△△▲△ | ░△▲▲▲△△△▲△ | █△░████△░█ | ██△△░△░△░█ | ||
| 500 | ▲▲▲▲▲△△░△△ | ░▲▲▲▲△░△▲△ | ██░░█░█░██ | ░░△△░△░░██ | ||
| 850 | ▲▲▲▲▲△△░△░ | ▲▲▲▲▲△░△△░ | ░░░██░█░██ | ▼░██░░█░█░ | ||
| Temperature | 100 | ███△△△▲▲▲△ | ░△▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | △░░░██████ | △△▲▲▲▲▲▲░░ | |
| 250 | ▲▲▲▲▲△██░█ | ▲▲▲▲▲░██░█ | ██░██░█░██ | ░▲▲░░△░△░░ | ||
| 500 | ▲▲▲▲▲△█░△░ | ▲▲▲▲▲△░△△△ | ░██████░░░ | △△░██░██░█ | ||
| 850 | △▲▲▲▲△░△△▲ | △▲▲▲▲△△△△▲ | █████░█░░░ | ░░████████ | ||
| 2m temperature | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▲△░███░███ | ||||
| Wind | 100 | ▲△▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△ | ▲△▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△ | ██░░███△██ | ▲░△△░██▲░░ | |
| 250 | ▲▲▲▲▲△░░△▲ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲△░▲▲ | ░███░░████ | ▲△░░△░█░█░ | ||
| 500 | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△░▲ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△▲ | △░░△△░░███ | ▲△░██▲████ | ||
| 850 | ▲▲▲▲▲△░░░△ | ▲▲▲▲▲░░░△△ | █░░███░█░█ | █░██████░█ | ||
| 10m wind | ▲▲▲▲▲△░█░△ | ▲░░░△████░ | ||||
| Relative humidity | 250 | ▲△▲△░█████ | █░△█████░█ | ░░░▲██░█░█ | ▲▲▲▲░░░░░█ | |
| 700 | █▲△█░▲░░██ | █△░█░△△░░░ | ██████△███ | █░████△░██ | ||
| 2m dew-point | ▲▲▲▲▲▲△△▲▲ | ░██░███░██ | ||||
| Total cloud cover | △░△░░█░██░ | █△██░█████ | ||||
| 24h precipitation | △△▲▲▲△██░█ (*) | ▲░█░█░█░░█ | ░██░█░███░ (*) | ██░██░███░ | ||
| Extratropical Northern Hemisphere | Extratropical Southern Hemisphere | Tropics | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EM RMS error | CRPS | EM RMS error | CRPS | EM RMS error | CRPS | |||
| Analysis | Geopotential | 100 | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△△△△△ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△△△░△ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△△△ | ||
| 250 | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△░░░△ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△△░△ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△△△░█░░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△░░░ | ||||
| 500 | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△△△△░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△△△△░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△△△███░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△░███ | ||||
| 850 | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲░░△░░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲░△░░█ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲░░█░░██ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△△█████ | ||||
| Mean sea level pressure | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△░△░░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△△△░░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△△████░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△▲░██░░ | ||||
| Temperature | 100 | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | |
| 250 | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△△░░░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△░██░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ||
| 500 | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△△△△ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△▲▲▲△△░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△ | ▲██████░░░△△△△△ | ▲██████░░░░△△△△ | ||
| 850 | △▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△△△△ | █▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△△▲△ | △▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▽░░░█ | ▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▽▼▽░░░█ | ||
| Wind speed | 100 | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△△△ | ░▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△△△ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▲△░░░△△△▲△△△△△△ | △△░░░△△△▲△░△░△△ | |
| 250 | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△△░░░█ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△░░░░█ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△△░△△ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△△░△△ | ▲░▽▼░░██░███░░▽ | ▲░▽▼▼▽░██░░▽▼▼▼ | ||
| 500 | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△△△░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△△△░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△░░░░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△░░△ | ███░█░░△░█████░ | ███░██░△░█████░ | ||
| 850 | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△░△░█░██ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△△░█░██ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲░░█░░░█ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△░██░░█ | ░░░△░△△░░░███░█ | █░░░░△△░░░███░█ | ||
| Relative humidity | 200 | █▼░░██░█░░░██░█ | █▽██△△▲△▲▲▲▲△▲▲ | █░██░░░░█░△░░░△ | ░█░△▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▼ | ▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▼ | |
| 700 | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△△░░░█░ | █▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△△░░░██ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ░▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ░█░█████░░▼▽▽▽▽ | ▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▼ | ||
| 2m temperature | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△░△░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ||
| 10m wind at sea | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ||
| Significant wave height | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲░░██░░▽ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△███░▽▽▼ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲░▽▼▼▼▼▼▼▼ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲█▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▼ | ▲▲▲▲░░░░███████ | ▲▲▲▲△░░░░░█████ | ||
| Mean wave period | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲░██████ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲░░████ | ▲█△▲▲▲▲▲△△░████ | ▲░█▲▲▲▲▲▲△░████ | ▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▼ | ░███████░░▽▽▽▼▼ | ||
| Observations | Geopotential | 100 | ▼▼▽░▲▲▲▲△░░░░░░ | ▼▼▽█△▲△░██░█░██ | ▼▼▼▼███░░░░███░ | ▼▼▼▼▼▽░█░░░░▽▼▼ | ||
| 250 | ▽▲▲▲▲▲▲△△△△░░░△ | ░△▲▲▲▲▲△△△△░△░△ | ▼░△▲▲▲▲▲░░░░███ | ▼▼█△▲△△△░██░██░ | ||||
| 500 | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△▲△░░░░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△▲▲△△░△ | △△▲▲▲▲▲▲░░░░██░ | △█▲▲▲▲▲△△██░█░█ | ||||
| 850 | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△▲△△░░░ | △▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△△△△░░░ | ▽█▲▲▲▲▲▲░░█████ | ▽░▲▲▲▲▲▲░░█████ | ||||
| Temperature | 100 | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | █△▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | █▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | |
| 250 | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△△△△ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△▲▲░░░░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲△△△△△▲▲▲▲ | ▲▲▲▲▲△△△△△△▲▲▲▲ | ||
| 500 | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△░△△△ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△△▲▲▲ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△▲▲△░░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△▲▲△██ | ▲█▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▽▽▽░▽ | ▲░▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▽▽█░ | ||
| 850 | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△△░░░░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△△░░△░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△░△░░░██ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△△△░░███ | ▽▽▼▼▼▼▽▼▽▽▽░███ | ▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▼░░▽ | ||
| Wind speed | 100 | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△░░△░░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△△△░△░░ | ░▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△░█△△ | ░▲△▲▲▲▲▲▲▲░░█△△ | ▲▲░░░██░█░███░█ | ▲▲░███░░█▽██░░█ | |
| 250 | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△△△░░△░░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△△△░░△△░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△△△△░░█░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△░░△░░█░ | ▲░█░▼░▽▼▽▽▽▽░▼▼ | △█░▽▼▽▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▼ | ||
| 500 | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△░░█░▲░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△░█△▲△ | △▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△△░░░░░ | △▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△░░░░░░ | ▲░░░△█░░░██▽░██ | ▲█░█░██░░█░▽░██ | ||
| 850 | ▲▲▲▲▲▲△△░░█░░██ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲░░██░░██ | ▲▲▲▲△▲▲△△△░███░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲△░░△████░ | △░▲▲△△△░░██░░░░ | △░▲△△△△░░██▽▽▽░ | ||
| Relative humidity | 200 | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▲▲░█████░░░█░░░ | ▲△▽░░█░█▽▽▽█░██ | |
| 700 | ▲▲▲▲▲▲△░█░█████ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲△░█░█████ | █△△△▲△▲△△░█████ | █△△△▲△▲△△░█████ | ▲█▽▽▼▼▼░▽▼▼▼▼▼▼ | △░▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▼ | ||
| 2m temperature | ▲▲▲▲░██████████ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△ | △△▲△△░△░████░░░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲░████████ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ||
| 2m dew-point | █░░████████████ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△△△△ | ▲△△███░░░██████ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲░██░██ | ▼▽█░█▲△▲△███░██ | ▽░██░△△△△░█████ | ||
| Total cloud cover | ▲▲▲▲░△░███░░△██ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△▲▲▲△▲△ | ░██△▲░△░██░░█░░ | ▲▲△▲▲▲▲△░░△△█░░ | ░△██△█░░██░██░█ | ▲▲▲████░█△██░██ | ||
| 10m wind | △██░░██████████ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△░███░██ | △░░░█░░███░░██░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△△△△░░▲ | ▲▲▲△▲△░▲░█▲▲▲░░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ||
| 24h precipitation | █░△░░███░░░░░░█ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲░░░░░░░░△ | ░░░██░░░△░░█△█░ | ░██░█▲▲▲░░█░△△▲ | ███░███████████ | ▲▲▽▽▽▼▽░░░▽▽▽▽▽ | ||
| Europe | Northern America | East Asia | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EM RMS error | CRPS | EM RMS error | CRPS | EM RMS error | CRPS | |||
| Analysis | Geopotential | 100 | █▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△░░░░██ | █▲▲▲▲▲▲△△░░░███ | █△▲▲▲△△△△░███░░ | █▲▲▲▲△░░░░███░█ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△░██░△▲▲ | △▲▲▲▲▲▲△░░░░△▲▲ |
| 250 | ▲▲▲△△△△△△░█████ | ▲▲▲▲▲△△△△░░████ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲△△░░██░△△ | ░△▲▲▲▲△△░░░█△△░ | △▲▲▲▲▲▲▲░░█░△▲▲ | △▲▲▲▲▲▲▲░△░░▲▲▲ | ||
| 500 | ▲▲▲△△△△▲△░░████ | ▲▲▲▲△△△△△░░████ | ▲▲▲▲▲△△△░░██░░░ | ░▲▲▲▲▲△△░░░█░░█ | △▲▲▲▲▲▲△░░█░░△▲ | △▲▲▲▲▲▲△░░░░△▲▲ | ||
| 850 | █▲▲▲▲△△▲△△░░░██ | ▽▲▲▲▲△△△░░░░██░ | ░▲▲▲▲▲▲△░░█████ | █▲▲▲▲▲▲△░△██░██ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲████████ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲████░░█░ | ||
| Mean sea level pressure | △▲▲▲▲△△▲△△░░░██ | ░▲▲▲▲△△△△△░░░█░ | △▲▲▲▲▲▲▲░△█████ | △▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△△░████ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲████░░░█ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲████░░█░ | ||
| Temperature | 100 | █▲▲▲▲▲△△△▲▲△░██ | █▲▲▲▲▲△△△△△△░██ | △▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△△▲△ | △▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△△▲▲ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△△ | △▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△▲ | |
| 250 | ▲▲▲▲△░△△▲△░░███ | ▲▲▲▲△░△△△△░░███ | ▲▲△▲▲▲░△░░█████ | ▲△△▲▲▲△░░░█████ | ░▲▲▲▲▲▲░███░░△△ | ░▲▲▲▲▲▲░███░░△░ | ||
| 500 | ▲▲▲▲▲△△△△░█████ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△▲△░███░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△△░█░△░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△△△░△△△ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△░█░▲▲▲ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△░△▲▲▲ | ||
| 850 | ▲▲▲▲▲△░△△░██░██ | △▲▲▲▲△△△△░█████ | △█△▲▲▲△△░░░█░░░ | ░█░▲▲▲△△△░░█░░░ | ░▲▲▲▲▲▲▲░░░█△△△ | █△▲▲▲▲▲▲░░░█△▲△ | ||
| Wind speed | 100 | ░█▲▲▲△△▲△░░░░██ | ▼█▲▲▲▲△△△░░░███ | ░△▲▲▲▲▲△△△█████ | █░△▲▲▲▲△△░█████ | △░△█△▲△░███△▲▲△ | ░░△░▲▲△░██░░▲▲△ | |
| 250 | ▲▲▲△△△░░░███░░▽ | ▲▲▲▲▲△△△░███░░▽ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲△░△░██░░█ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲░░░░██░░█ | △△▲▲△△△△███△△░░ | ░△▲▲▲△△░███△△░░ | ||
| 500 | ▲▲▲▲▲△△△░██████ | ▲▲▲▲▲△△△░██████ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲░░△░██░░░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲░░△░██░░░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲░███░░▲▲ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲░░██░░▲▲ | ||
| 850 | ▲▲▲▲△░░░█░█████ | ▲▲▲▲△█░░█▽████░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲░░△△█████ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲△░△△█████ | ▲▲▲▲▲△△░█░░△███ | ▲▲▲▲▲△△░█░█△███ | ||
| Relative humidity | 200 | ▲△△░▲△△░░░██░△█ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△△▲░█△▲░ | ▼█░███░░░░███░█ | ▼▽▽███░△△△░██△█ | △░░▽░▽░▽░█░███░ | ░░░▽░▽░░░██░███ | |
| 700 | ▲▲▲△░██░█░█████ | ░▲▲△░░░░█░█████ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲△█░░██░██ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲△█░░██░██ | █△▲▲△░░█▽█░███░ | ▼█△△△░░█▽█████░ | ||
| 2m temperature | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△░△△ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△░△░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲△△░░░██░█ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△△░░░█░░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△░░███░░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲░░░█░△░ | ||
| Observations | Geopotential | 100 | ▼▽░█░░░△░██████ | ▼░██░░△░███████ | █▲█░░░░░░░█████ | █▲░█████░░█████ | █▽▽░█░████████░ | █▽▽░███░░█░░██░ |
| 250 | ░▲▲░░░░░░░█████ | █▲▲△△░░△░░█████ | █△△▲▲△△░░░░░░░░ | █░░▲▲△△░░░░░░░░ | ▽█░▲▲▲▲░░░██░△▲ | ░██△▲▲▲██░██░△▲ | ||
| 500 | △▲▲░░█░░░██████ | ░▲▲△░█░△░██████ | ░▲▲▲▲△░░░░░░░░░ | ░▲▲▲▲△░░░░░░░░░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△░△░░△△▲ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△░△░░△▲▲ | ||
| 850 | ▼△△△△░░░░░░░█░█ | ▼░△▲△░△░██░██░░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲△△░△░░███ | △▲▲▲▲▲▲△░△△░░██ | △▲▲▲▲▲▲████████ | △▲▲▲▲▲▲████░██░ | ||
| Temperature | 100 | ░△△░△░░△△△△░███ | △▲▲░▲░░░△░░░███ | △▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△▲△△▲▲▲ | △▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△△▲△▲▲▲ | △▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | △▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | |
| 250 | ▲▲▲△░█░△▲△░░███ | ▲▲▲△░█░△△△░███░ | ▲▲░▲▲▲△△░△△░███ | ▲▲░▲▲▲△△░△░████ | △▲▲▲▲▲△██░██░△△ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲░██████△░ | ||
| 500 | ▲▲▲▲░░█△▲░█████ | ▲▲▲▲▲░░△▲░████░ | ▲▲▲▲▲△△△░△△░░░░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲░△△░░△░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲░░░██△▲▲ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲░△░██△▲▲ | ||
| 850 | △△△░░███░░██░░░ | △░△△△███░░██░░░ | △█░▲▲△△△░△░░█░░ | ▲░△▲▲△△△△░△░█░░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△△░░░△▲△ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△░░█░△▲△ | ||
| Wind speed | 100 | ▲▲△▲△△░░░░░░░██ | ▲▲▲▲░△░△██░░░██ | △▲△▲▲▲▲▲△░█████ | △▲△▲▲▲▲▲░░█████ | ░█░█░△░█████░△░ | ░░░█△▲░█████░░░ | |
| 250 | ▲▲▲△△░△░░░█████ | ▲▲▲▲△░△░░░█░░█░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲△░░░██░░░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲△░░░░█░░█ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲△████△░░░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲△████△░░░ | ||
| 500 | ▲▲▲▲░░░░███░██░ | ▲▲▲▲△░△░███░██░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲△△△░██░░░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲△△△░░█△△△ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲█░████▲▲ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲█░██░░▲▲ | ||
| 850 | ▲▲▲△░██░░██△░█░ | ▲▲▲△△█░████░░█░ | ▲△▲▲▲▲△█░░███░░ | ▲△▲▲▲▲△█░░█████ | ▲▲▲▲▲░░░███░██░ | ▲▲▲▲▲░░░░█░███░ | ||
| Relative humidity | 200 | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ░△▲△▲▲▲▲△△▲▲▲▲▲ | █░░█░█░░█░△△△░△ | |
| 700 | ▲▲▲△███░░░█░██░ | ▲▲▲△███░░░█████ | ▲▲▲▲▲△△████△███ | ▲▲▲▲▲△△██░█△███ | ░△▲░░△░█░░░░░██ | █░▲░░△░█░░░░░██ | ||
| 2m temperature | ▲▲▲▲△░△░░███░██ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△░△░ | △███░███████░░█ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△△░△░██░ | ▲△░██░░██░░░███ | ████░△△░█░███△░ | ||
| 2m dew-point | ▲▲▲░██░░░██░███ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△░█░█ | ▲▲▲▲░██░░░█░░██ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△△░░░░ | △△△░░███░░█████ | △▲▲▲▲△░░░░░░░△░ | ||
| Total cloud cover | △▲▲░░░░███░░░██ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲△△█△△△░░░ | ░████████░△△△░░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲░░△△△░░░ | ▲▲▲△█████████░█ | ▲░△▲△△░▽░█░░░░█ | ||
| 10m wind | █░░█████░░█░░██ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△█△△△△░ | ░█▽█░▽██████░█░ | ▲▲▲▲△░░███▽████ | ░▲△△█░░████████ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△░△△△△░█ | ||
| 24h precipitation | ▽░░░█████░░█░██ | △△▲△░△░███░░█░█ | █░░░███░△░█░░██ | ▲△△▲▲△█░█░░█░█░ | ░░△░△░░██████△░ | ▲▲▲▲△░█████░░△▲ | ||
| Arctic | Antarctic | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EM RMS error | CRPS | EM RMS error | CRPS | |||
| Analysis | Geopotential | 100 | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△△░░░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△△△░░ | ░▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△△▲△▲△ | ░▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△▲▲▲▲△ |
| 250 | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△░░░██ | △▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲░░░██ | █▲▲▲▲△△△███░░██ | █▲▲▲▲△△░███████ | ||
| 500 | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△△△░░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△△△░░ | ▲▲▲▲▲△△△███░░██ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲△△███░███ | ||
| 850 | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲░△△░░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲░△△░█ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲△△██░▽░██ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲△△██░▽███ | ||
| Mean sea level pressure | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△░△░░ | △▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲░░△░█ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△██░▽███ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△███░███ | ||
| Temperature | 100 | █▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△░░ | ░▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△△△ | ▼░░△▲▲▲▲△△░░░░△ | ▼░█░△△▲▲△△△░░△△ | |
| 250 | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△▲▲▲△△△△ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△▲▲▲▲△△△ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ||
| 500 | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△░░██ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△△░██ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲△△△░△△░░█ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△░△△△░░ | ||
| 850 | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲░███░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲░███░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ||
| Wind speed | 100 | ▼░▲▲▲▲▲▲▲░█████ | ▼▽▲▲▲▲▲▲▲░█████ | ▽█△▲▲△△△░████░░ | ▽█△▲▲▲▲△░█████░ | |
| 250 | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△░△░████ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△△△░░███ | ▲▲▲▲△░△░██░░░██ | △▲▲▲▲△△░███▽░░█ | ||
| 500 | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△░░░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲░░░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲░██████ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△░██████ | ||
| 850 | ▲▲▲▲▲▲△█░██░△█△ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲△█░██░△█░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△█░░█▽░█ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△█░░░▽░█ | ||
| Relative humidity | 200 | ▲△▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | △▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | |
| 700 | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△░△△△ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△░▲△▲ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ||
| 2m temperature | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△△██░░▽ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△░█░░▽ | ░▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△░░░░░△ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△░░░░░░ | ||
| Observations | Geopotential | 100 | ▼▽△▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△△░░ | ▽█▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△△ | ▼▼░△△▲△▲△△▲▲▲▲△ | ▼▽░░░▲▲▲△△△▲△△△ |
| 250 | ░▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△△△░█ | █▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△△△░█ | ▽█△△△▲△△░░△░░░█ | ▽█△△▲▲△▲△░░░░░█ | ||
| 500 | ░▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△△△░█ | △▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△△△░█ | ▽░▲▲▲▲△▲△░△░░△█ | ▼░▲▲▲▲▲▲△░░░█░█ | ||
| 850 | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△△△░█ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△△△░█ | ▼░░△△△△△██████░ | ▼▽△△△△△△███░░█▽ | ||
| Temperature | 100 | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△░ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | |
| 250 | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ░▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ░▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ||
| 500 | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△░███ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△░███ | ░▲░█░▲▲░░△░░░░░ | △△△░△▲▲△░░░░░█△ | ||
| 850 | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△△▲░████ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲░████ | ███░░░█████████ | ███░░░█████████ | ||
| Wind speed | 100 | △△▲▲▲▲▲▲△░░░███ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△░█░███ | ░█△△△△░░░██████ | ██░△△▲░░░██████ | |
| 250 | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△░△░██░█ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△░△░████ | ░█░▲▲░△△△███░██ | ░█△▲▲▲△△△██████ | ||
| 500 | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△░░░████ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△░░░████ | △█△△█████░████░ | ░█△△△░░██░███░░ | ||
| 850 | ▲▲▲▲▲░██△██████ | ▲▲▲▲▲░██△██████ | ░░▲░░█△░△░███░░ | ░█▲△░█▲░░░███░█ | ||
| Relative humidity | 200 | █△▲▲▲▲▲██░█████ | ▲▲▲▲███▽▽░▼▼▼▼▽ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲△▲▲▲▲▲△▲▲ | |
| 700 | △▲▲△△░░████░███ | △▲▲△△█░██░█░███ | ▽███░███░███░██ | ▼███████░████░█ | ||
| 2m temperature | ▲△△░░░█████████ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△░██ | △▲▲▲△△▲░░██░██░ | ▲▲░░░░███▽▽░░░█ | ||
| 2m dew-point | █░△█░△█░░██████ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△████ | ░▲░██░░██░█░███ | ▲▲△██░░██▽▽▽███ | ||
| Total cloud cover | ██░██████░█░███ | ▲▲▲▲▲△█░△△░████ | ██░█░█████████△ | █░████░△△█░█░░█ | ||
| 10m wind | △██░██░████░███ | ▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲△█░△▲░▲ | ░███░░░███░░██░ | ░░█△░△░█░░██░░█ | ||
| 24h precipitation | ░░█████░█░█░░██ | △△▲▲▲█░▲▲▲△△█░△ | ████░░██░███░█░ | ▽░░░█░░█░░█░█░░ | ||
Symbol legend: for a given forecast step...
▲ 46r1 better than 45r1 statistically significant with 99.7% confidence
△ 46r1 better than 45r1 statistically significant with 95% confidence
░ 46r1 better than 45r1 statistically significant with 68% confidence
█ not really any difference between 45r1 and 46r1
░ 46r1 worse than 45r1 statistically significant with 68% confidence
▽ 46r1 worse than 45r1 statistically significant with 95% confidence
▼ 46r1 worse than 45r1 statistically significant with 99.7% confidence