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Status: Ongoing analysis Material from: Linus

Discussed in the following Daily reports:

1. Impact

During the last week of June a large part of Europe was under a heatwave, stretching from northern Africa to northern Norway. Several temperature records were broken on high latitudes.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/62001812

2. Description of the event

The plots below show analyses of T850 and z500 for 24 to 30 June, every 24 hour.

Forecast User > 202206 - Heatwave - Europe 2 > an_t-850_z-500_2022062400_0.ps.gif

3. Predictability

3.1 Data assimilation

3.2 HRES

3.3 ENS

The plots below show the EFI for 3-day 2-metre temperature 26-28 June.

Forecast User > 202206 - Heatwave - Europe 2 > vd_efi-t2m_2022062600_0-72.ps.gif

The plot below shows the forecast evolution plot 3-day 2-metre temperature 26-28 June for Rome, Italy.

Forecast User > 202206 - Heatwave - Europe 2 > 2t_Rome3.0_2022062600.ps.gif

The plot below shows the forecast evolution plot 3-day 2-metre temperature 26-28 June for Tromso, Norway.

Forecast User > 202206 - Heatwave - Europe 2 > 2t_TromsoE3.0_2022062600.ps.gif

3.4 Monthly forecasts

The plots below show the weekly anomalies for 2-metre temperature from extended-range forecasts with different lead times.

3.5 Comparison with other centres

4. Experience from general performance/other cases

5. Good and bad aspects of the forecasts for the event

6. Additional material