The criteria currently in place for the issue of an EFAS Pre-Tasking request are listed below:

  • An EFAS Formal or Informal notification has already been sent to relevant EFAS partner(s). Pre-Tasking is not issued based on Flash Flood signal.
  • Total flood probability median (i.e. 50% probability) needs to exceed the 20-yr RP threshold.
  • Start of the event (i.e. median exceeding the 5-yr RP threshold) generally within 24-36 hours from the current time (can be less, cannot be more).
  • Area part of EFAS Condition of access.

Additional considerations:

  • The spread of the total probability shown in the reporting point pop-up window forecast is not very wide (high certainty in the forecasts).
  • The historical model performance (where available) is adequate indicating that the model is not lacking of process representation.
  • Adequate accuracy of water balance (hydrological simulation driven by the most recent meteorological observations), indicating that the initial model conditions are correct.
  • The forecast should be persistent and affecting a reasonably long stretch of a river (as displayed in the layer "Flood probability"- layer from the "Flood summary" tab).
  • Presence of a signal from the Rapid Impact Assessment layer can considered as supporting information.
  • Flows are not significantly affected by reservoirs.

   

Example of the forecasts from EFAS-IS for the event in northeast Romania during late spring 2025

 


 Comparison between Pre-Tasking criteria and EFAS Formal and Informal notifications criteria


EFAS NOTIFICATIONPRE-TASKING E-MAIL
Start of the event in EFAS forecast> 48 hours (Formal), could be lower (Informal)24-36 hours
Probability≥ 50% (Formal), ≥ 40% (Informal) of 5-y RP (Total probability)> 50 % of 20-y RP (Total probability)
Recipientsall partners in the catchmentonly affected partners (according to the Area of Interest)
Attachmentsnonearea of interest (*.geojson, *.kml)


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