Use case 1 - Enhancing Tropical Cyclone Forecasting in the Caribbean through collaboration within Destination Earth

Background

Tropical cyclones pose significant threats to the Caribbean, causing substantial damage to infrastructure, ecosystems, and economies. Accurate forecasting is crucial for mitigating these impacts, prompting the need for collaboration between leading meteorological organizations. The European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) represent two of the foremost authorities in weather prediction. Through the Destination Earth (DestinE) initiative, a European Union-led initiative aimed at creating a digital twin of the Earth for comprehensive environmental monitoring, ECMWF and NOAA can enhance the accuracy and reliability of tropical cyclone forecasts in the Caribbean.

Exchange of data & services

To come summer 2024 ...

Resources

• European Commission

  • Emergency Response Coordination Centre (ERCC)

    • Latest active and tracked emergencies (including TCs)
• ECMWF
  • Latest operational TC forecasts: https://www.ecmwf.int/en/forecasts/charts/latest-tropical-cyclones-forecast
    • Charts 
  • DestinE TC Beryl first results: DestinE weather-induced Extremes digital twin improves the forecasts of tropical cyclones and heavy rain
  • AIFS Blog - updates on ECMWF AI developments
• NOAA
  • NOAA Centre for AI - NCAI 
  • TC PRIMED - https://rammb-data.cira.colostate.edu/tcprimed/
  • User outreach through NOAA's Southeast and Caribbean Regional Team:  https://www.noaa.gov/regions/southeast-and-caribbean-regional-team