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 Status: Ongoing analysis Material from: Linus


 

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Discussed in the following Daily reports:

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3.1 Data assimilation

 

3.2 HRES



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3.3 ENS

The plots below show EFI for 24-hour maximum wind gusts on 1 October.

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The plot below shows the forecast evolution for 24-hour maximum (1 Oct 12UTC  - 2 Oct 12UTC) wind gusts in the box over Bretagne outlined in the EFI plots above. The plot includes ENS (blue), HRES (red dot), ENS control (purple dot), observation (green) and model climate (red).


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The plots below show EFI for 24-hour precipitation on 2 October.


3.4 Monthly forecasts

The plots below show ensemble mean anomalies for precipitation 28 Sept to 4 October from extended-range forecasts with different initial times.

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The plots below show the same as above but for surface pressure anomalies.

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3.5 Comparison with other centres

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