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The plots below show SYNOP observations (first plot) and HRES forecasts of 24-hour precipitation valid 10 August 00UTC - 13 August 00UTC, from different initial dates. The black square in the forecast plots indicate location of Bozhurt on the Black Sea coast that got 292 mm (over 2 days). Unfortunately we do not have a good SYNOP coverage in the region.

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3.3 ENS

The plots below show EFI for 3-day precipitation 10-12 August, from different initial times. 

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