...
3. Predictability (including 40r1 E-suite evaluation)
3.1 HRES
The figures below shows forecasts of MSLP valid for 28 Oct 12 UTC and maximum wind gust during the 28 October. The o-suite is plotted in the left column and the e-suite in the right.
The figure above shows forecasts initialised 28 Oct 0 UTC. For southern England, the e-suite has less intense wind gusts than o-suite. For souther Scandinavia, it seems like the band of the highest wind gusts are a little bit to far north for both suites.
The figure above shows forecasts initialised 27 Oct 0 UTC (+36h).
The figure above shows forecasts initialised 26 Oct 0 UTC (+60h).
The figure above shows forecasts initialised 25 Oct 0 UTC (+84h).
3.2 ENS
CDF for wind gusts for Reading valid on the 28 October. Different colour represents different initial times and the o-suite (38r2, solid) and e-suite (40r1, dotted).
...