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  • Medium- and extended-range deterministic and ensemble forecasts for GloFAS 30-day. ECMWF-ENS is the ensemble of lower-resolution forecast of ECMWF and consists of 51 members at ~18 km resolution up to 15 days, increasing to ~36 km from day 16 to 30. In GloFAS 30-day, the outputs of the 00:00 UTC IFS medium-range runs are used daily for days 1 to 15, and the latest available IFS extended-range runs are used for days 16 to 30. The ECMWF-ENS-CNTL is a special member of the ENS, which uses the most accurate estimate of the current initial conditions (used also in ECMWF-HRES), while the other 50 ensemble members start from slightly perturbed conditions.
  • Long-range SEAS5 ensemble forecasts for GloFAS Seasonal. SEAS5 is the ensemble seasonal forecast of ECMWF (operational since 5 November 2017), and one of the seasonal forecast models of the Copernicus Climate Change Service. It consists of 51 members at ~36 km horizontal resolution, generated each month (from the 1st of the month) with 7 months lead time (extended to 13 months once a season).