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Fig2.1.5: Rainfall forecasts run for the same period (24hr rainfall to T+69 verifying at 06UTC 6 Dec 2015) at several resolutions (80km for seasonal SEAS5.    Resolutions: 80km , 36 km for (used by system 5 seasonal and extended ranges (day 16-46), 18km for standard ENS, 9km for (used by HRES and ensemble) , 5km (a possible future resolution).  Maybe replace in the light of new resolutions etc

Fig2.1.6: Magnification of rainfall forecasts as in Fig2.1.5. The bottom right plot shows the observed rainfall for comparison.  Higher resolution gives better representation of the rain shadow effect but it still is underestimated (e.g.northeast England).  Maybe replace in the light of new resolutions etc

Fig2.1.5 and Fig2.1.6 illustrate the impact of resolution on rainfall, particularly orographic enhancement and the rain shadow effect.  The effect of increased model resolution on:

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