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  • Continuous Ranked Probability Score for the forecast (CRPSforecast) is calculated comparing the Cumulative Distribution Functions (CDF) for the forecast against observations (or analyses) over a given period. 
  • Continuous Ranked Probability Score for climatology (CRPSclimat) is calculated comparing the Cumulative Distribution Functions (CDF) for the forecast against climatology climatology against observations (or analyses) over the same period. 


Hersbach, H., 2000: Decomposition of the continuous ranked probability score for ensemble prediction systems. Wea. Forecasting, 15, 559-570.

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