Status:Ongoing analysis Material from: Linus, Mohamed, Fernando, Tim
Discussed in the following Daily reports:
...
Gallery includeLabel mslp_12 sort comment title MSLP and precip 12-hour fc
Looking back at satellite imagery sequences for both Elon and Felix, and in both there was some evidence, from evaporating fingers of cloud head particulate, of sting jet activity, with model profiles, at least in 2-3 day forecasts, also supportive. For Elon sting jet activity and duration look to have been limited; Felix looked a bit more clearcut. The sequence below is probably after a short sting jet phase for Elon, given that the cloud head tip is already advancing around the cyclone, in 'hammerhead' format. So any strong winds associated were probably due to the 'cold jet' that typically follows.
3. Predictability
3.1 Data assimilation
...