Status:Ongoing analysis Material from: Ivan
Discussed in the following Daily reports:
Picture
1. Impact
Winter scenes of deep snow covering the town of Troyan, Northern Bulgaria (red marker on the map) where the snow cover reached about 50 cm. The most affected area in Southern Bulgaria is denoted with the red oval; in some parts in the mountain the new snow cover was more than 1 m in height. Heavy wet snow damaged power lines, closed roads and blocked the access to many parts of the region. A sate of emergency was declared.
24-hour total precipitation ended at 06UTC of the day displayed on the maps analysed by the LAM ALADIN and high density observational network of rain gauge stations. These maps show that in the most affected region in the southern parts of Bulgaria the snowfall didn't stop for about 4 days. The heaviest snow fell on the 6th and in the morning of the 7th March.
...
The maps below show snow depth analysis at 06 UTC on the specified dates. The orography is also shown. The country was snow free on 5 March and the snow started accumulating on the 6 March and reached more than 1 metre in some southern parts of the country.
2. Description of the event
A cyclone formed on 5 March over the Western Mediterranean and remained quasi-stationary over the Central Mediterranean during the following few days. An active quasi-stationary weather front associated with this cyclone lay over the southern Balkans creating a long-lasting precipitation episode.
...
Gallery includeLabel satir sort name
3. Predictability
3.1 Data assimilation
3.2 HRES
3.3 ENS
3.4 Monthly forecasts
3.5 Comparison with other centres
4. Experience from general performance/other cases