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The plot below shows Z500 and lightning density for Europe, using the UK Met Office lightning database. Lightning activity over the Netherlands and northern Germany is quite high.

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Precipitation totals over Europe from 05 May 06UTC to 06 May 06UTC (data: GTS and EFAS):

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Maximum wind gusts on 5 May:

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3. Predictability

  

3.1 Data assimilation

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