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Fig8.1.9.8-2: Skill scores (2*ROCA-1) for EFI regarding MUCAPE and MUCAPE-shear during April-September 2016, verified against reports of tornadoes, severe wind and large hail within USA only (Blue) and Europe only (Red), as a function of lead time (x-axis). Both show a degree of skill.  The plots show that using the MUCAPE and MUCAPE-shear EFI fields are useful in the prediction of an enhanced risk of severe weather related to convection, even beyond day7.  



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