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Fig8.1.9.3-7: An example of a rainfall CDF most frequently encountered where very few ensemble members forecast any rain at all.  The small negative EFI shows the ensemble rainfall distribution is lower than the M-climate distribution.  The negative upper tail SOT (quantile 90) indicates there are very few if any ensemble members (and in this case none of them) predict extreme equivalent rainfall (above the 99th ER-M-climate percentile shown by the dashed green line).  This suggests confidence that larger than normal rainfall will not occur (small EFI) and an exceptional rainfall event will not occur(SOT -1.2).

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