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  • At long lead-times, the CDFs may be fairly similar to the M-climate because of a broad variation within the ENS forecast results.
  • As forecast lead-time shortens, the ENS forecast results should become increasingly similar, with successive CDFs showing smaller and smaller variations relative to one another.
  • As forecast lead-time shortens, the CDFs should become steeper as the members within each successive ENS forecast become increasingly similar, implying higher confidence.

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