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Verification of the EFI has been done using synoptic observations over Europe. An extreme event is taken as having occurred if the observation exceeds the 95th percentile of the observed climate for that station for the given time of year (calculated from a 15-year sample). The observed climatology is used as a reference point because here it is the effectiveness of the forecast relative to the model climate (M-climate) that is being assessed. Verification has been performed for three directly represented parameters: 2m mean temperature, 10m mean wind speed, and total precipitation (Fig8.1.9.8-1).
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