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Niño plumes

Niño plume charts show bias corrected ensemble member forecasts of the anomaly of sea-surface temperatures within defined El Niño regions of the Pacific Ocean.  This allows forecasters to assess consistency of the forecasts for the upcoming months, to see the strength of a forecast El Niño (or ENSO) event or La Niña event, and to use the spread of results as an indicator of confidence.

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