Versions Compared

Key

  • This line was added.
  • This line was removed.
  • Formatting was changed.

Note: HRES and Ensemble Control Forecast (ex-HRES) are scientifically, structurally and computationally identical.  With effect from Cy49r1, Ensemble Control Forecast (ex-HRES) output is equivalent to HRES output where shown in the diagrams.   At the time of the diagrams, HRES had resolution of 9km and ensemble members had a resolution of 18km.

2m Dew point and Humidity errors:

...

  • too little snow-cover and/or too much cloud is analysed then there is a risk forecast temperatures may be too high and humidity too low.
  • too extensive snow-cover and/or too little cloud is analysed then there is a risk forecast temperatures may be too low and humidity too high.
  • in light winds, humidity over snow and water surfaces is likely to be rather higher than shown in background or forecast fields, particularly where flooding or with melting snowfields.
  • the boundary layer structure is not successfully analysed then there is a risk forecast temperatures may correspondingly be in error.
  • winds are too strong or too weak then forecast temperatures may have larger errors (particularly at high latitudes in winter where the role of insolation in offsetting radiative cooling is minimal.

(FUG Associated with Cy49r1)