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The following lists parameters and plots that are useful to produce for later group discussion:.

Remember to save interesting plots for later group discussion.

Isobaric  maps

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  • MSLP + 10m winds :                                                     interesting for Nadine's tracking and primary circulation
  • Geopotential height + temperature at 500hPa :            large scale patterns, position of Nadine's low and the Atlantic cutoff
  • Geopotential height + temperature at 850hPa :            lower level conditions, detection of fronts
  • 320K potential vorticity (PV), and
  • 500hPa relative vorticity (see Fig. 14 in Pantillon) :     upper level conditions, upper level jet and the cutoff signature in PV
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Potential temperature + potential vorticity

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Humidity and vertical motion :                                  to characterize the cold core

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and warm core structures of

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Hurricane Nadine and the cut-off low.
Humidity and Vertical motion

Group working suggestions

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Look at the difference between forecast and analysis to understand the error in the forecast, particularly the starting formation and final error..Remember to save plots of interest for later group presentation.

 

Exercise 3 : The operational ensemble forecasts

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