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It is important to note, however, that all members of an ensemble are equally probable and no result should be discarded out of hand.
Fig8.2.9.2(A,B,C): Three examples of the distribution of sub-seasonal ensemble members compared with the sub-seasonal model climate. The shaded colours show range and probabilities of anomalies from the mean in the sub-seasonal model climate. The box and whisker plots show the range and probabilities of anomalies of the sub-seasonal ensemble members from their median. Cumulative distribution functions are shown to help visualisation. If the spread of the ensemble forecast is:
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