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3.1 Data assimilation
3.2 HRES
The plots below show 2-metre temperature (left) and 10-metre wind speed from Sodankyla on 4 January from HRES (red) and observations (black). The model was far too warm while the wind speed was in line with observations, at least during the first part of the day.
The plot below compares the model climate from reforecasts (solid) and observation climatology (dashed).
3.3 ENS
The plot below show the evolution of ensemble forecasts (blue) and HRES (red dot) for 2-metre temperature in Sodankyla on 5 January 00z. The osbervation was around -40C (see above).
The plot below show the evolution of ensemble forecasts (blue) and HRES (red dot) for T850 over Trojan in central Bulgaria on 9 January 00z.
3.4 Monthly forecasts
The plots below show weekly temperature anomalies for 2-8 January.
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